/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
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Adrien Thibaut
76'
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Sam Gallagher
43'
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Junior Tchamadeu
47'
Crewe Alexandra vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result
Crewe Alexandra
42.11%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
27.44%
▲
(+0.06)
Stoke City
30.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
51.29%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.33%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
28.67%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
47.11%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
52.89%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
24.3%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
75.7%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
12.74%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
87.26%
▲
(+0.08)
First Half Winner
Crewe Alexandra
30.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
44.98%
▲
(+0.04)
Stoke City
24.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Team To Score First
Crewe Alexandra
50.96%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
8.67%
▲
(+0.06)
Stoke City
40.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
64.4%
▲
(+0.03)
Equal 8
11.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
24.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 9
52.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 9
12.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
35.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 10.5
40.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 10.5
59.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 1.5
39.2%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
60.8%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 2.5
15.82%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
84.18%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
5.08%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
94.92%
▲
(+0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
64.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
35.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
30.05%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
69.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
10.32%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
89.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
2.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
97.16%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Crewe Alexandra
42.11%
Draw
27.44%
Stoke City
30.46%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0
@
11.07%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 42.11%
2-1 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 42.11%
Draw
1-1
@
12.46%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.44%
0-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.44%
Stoke City
0-1
@
8.94%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.46%
1-2 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.46%
