Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.