/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
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Alfie Pond
45'
-
Adrien Thibaut
45'
-
Adrien Thibaut
46'
-
Alfie Pond
46'
-
Jack Powell
74'
-
Conor Thomas
74'
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Adrien Thibaut
75'
-
Curtis Nelson
12'
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Marvin Ekpiteta
45'+1'
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Alex Gilbey
66'
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Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
66'
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Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
84'
Crewe Alexandra vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result
Crewe Alexandra
30.88%
Draw
26.01%
MK Dons
43.1%
Both Teams to Score:
54.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.91%
Under 1.5
25.09%
Over 2.5
51.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
48.64%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
29.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
70.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
16.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
83.93%
▼
(-0.03)
First Half Winner
Crewe Alexandra
25.76%
Draw
42.5%
MK Dons
31.74%
Team To Score First
Crewe Alexandra
39.41%
No Goal
6.94%
▼
(-0.01)
MK Dons
53.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
54.52%
Equal 8
12.15%
Under 8
33.33%
Over 9
42.44%
Equal 9
12.07%
Under 9
45.48%
Over 10.5
31.47%
Under 10.5
68.53%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 1.5
32.42%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
67.58%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
12.16%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
87.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
3.57%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
96.43%
▼
(-0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
74.65%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.35%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
42.67%
Under 1.5
57.33%
Over 2.5
18.56%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
81.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
6.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
93.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Crewe Alexandra
30.88%
Draw
26.01%
MK Dons
43.1%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0
@
8.36%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.88%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.88%
Draw
1-1
@
11.91%
0-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 26.01%
0-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 26.01%
MK Dons
0-1
@
9.78%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.54%
0-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74%
Other @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.1%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.54%
0-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74%
Other @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.1%