League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Barrow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Salford City 1 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Barrow

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Barrow 2 - 1 Bromley
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Josh Gordon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw has a probability of 23.03% and a win for Barrow has a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a Barrow win it is 0-1 (5.82%).

Result

MK Dons 58.81% (+0.04)
Draw 23.03% (-0.03)
Barrow 18.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.52% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.14% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.86% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.32% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.68% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.28% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 70.72% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.59% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.41% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 42.99%
Draw 37.34%
Barrow 19.67%

Team To Score First

MK Dons 62.64%
No Goal 6.88%
Barrow 30.48%

Corners

Over 8 58.46%
Equal 8 11.58% (+0.02)
Under 8 29.96% (-0.02)
Over 9 46.59% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.87% (+0.02)
Under 9 41.54%
Over 10.5 35.45% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 64.55% (+0.04)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 53.38% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 46.62% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 27.09% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 72.91% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 11.34% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.66% (-0.04)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5 52.88% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 47.12% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 79.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.74%
Under 2.5 94.26%
Over 3.5 1.41%
Under 3.5 98.59%

Score analysis

MK Dons 58.81%
Draw 23.03%
Barrow 18.13%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 10.02%
3-0 @ 6.33% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 11.27% (+0.03)
Total : 58.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 23.03%
Barrow
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 18.13%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Luke Offord 59' yellowcard
  • Tommi O'Reilly 77' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Leko 89' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Presley 16'
  • goal Aaron Presley 57'
  • goal Tyler Smith 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 19
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
  • Kian Spence 10' goal
  • Sam Foley 41' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cameron 62' goal
  • goal Scott Hogan 8'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 34'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 46'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
  • Niall Canavan 38' yellowcard
  • Niall Canavan 38' yellowcard
  • George Ray 55' yellowcard
  • George Ray 55' yellowcard
  • Cole Stockton 78' goal
  • Paul Farman 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard M. Williams 51'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 51'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 51'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 51'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 53'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 53'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Ethan Robson 6' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 12' goal
  • Max Dean 35' goal
  • Cameron Norman 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pete Wild 7'
  • yellowcard Paul Farman 13'
  • yellowcard Robbie Gotts 45'+1'
  • goal Ben Whitfield 90'+3'
  • goal Emile Acauah 90'+5'