Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.03% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.