Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.