League Two
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Boundary Park
  • Josh Hawkes 56' yellowcard
  • Calum Kavanagh 56' yellowcard
  • Joe Garner 56' yellowcard
  • Mike Fondop 84' goal
  • Kai Payne 85' yellowcard
  • Oliver Hammond 85' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Ekpiteta 30'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 64'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 74'
  • yellowcard Joseph Tomlinson 90'
  • yellowcard Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 90'

Oldham Athletic vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Colchester 1 - 3 Oldham
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Kane Drummond

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 0 - 0 Barrow
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Oldham Athletic 36.42% (-0.04)
Draw 26.8%
MK Dons 36.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.51% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.65% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 25.35% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.7% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 49.3% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 28.4% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.6% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.58% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.42% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Oldham Athletic 27.09%
Draw 44.76%
MK Dons 28.15%

Team To Score First

Oldham Athletic 44.34%
No Goal 7.18%
MK Dons 48.48%

Corners

Over 8 53.37%
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 34.27%
Over 9 41.19%
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 46.63%
Over 10.5 30.23%
Under 10.5 69.77%

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 36.87% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.13% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.75% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.78%
Under 3.5 95.22%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 70.66% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.34% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.61% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.99% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.01% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.04% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.96% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 36.42%
Draw 26.81%
MK Dons 36.79%
Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.5% (-0.01)
Total : 36.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 26.81%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 36.79%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Tomlinson 42' goal
  • Liam Kelly 57' goal
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Jon Mellish 84' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Donervon Daniels 28'
  • yellowcard Jamie Robson 28'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Monthe 70'
  • goal Luke Hannant 76'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Mike Fondop 84'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • Chuks Aneke 14' goal
  • Kieran Agard 65' goal
  • yellowcard Gevaro Nepomuceno 41'
  • goal Thomas Haymer 67'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Boundary Park (Oldham, Greater Manchester)
  • Danny Gardner 41' goal
  • Christopher Missilou 71' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Agard 9'
  • goal Ryan Harley 21'
  • yellowcard Joe Walsh 69'
League One
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Anthony Gerrard 40' goal
  • yellowcard Ed Upson 32'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ebanks-Landell 90'
  • yellowcard Aidan Nesbitt 90'
League One
Oct 21, 2017 3.00pm
4
4
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Alex Gilbey 17' goal
  • Ed Upson 56' goal
  • Ed Upson 64' yellowcard
  • Joe Walsh 65' yellowcard
  • Aidan Nesbitt 82' goal
  • Chuks Aneke 88' yellowcard
  • Ed Upson 89' goal
  • goal Craig Davies 7'
  • goal Eoin Doyle 39'
  • goal Eoin Doyle 45'
  • yellowcard Peter Clarke 55'
  • goal Peter Clarke 63'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Fane 66'
  • yellowcard Rob Hunt 90'