Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Bet365 Stadium

Stoke City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Bristol City 2 - 0 Stoke

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Swansea 3 - 1 Charlton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 34.02% and a draw has a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result

Stoke City 39.17% (-0.04)
Draw 26.78% (+0.02)
Swansea City 34.02% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.99% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.31% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 26.69% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 48.44% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 51.56% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.47% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.53% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.03% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.97% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 30.04% (-0.06)
Draw 44.85% (+0.03)
Swansea City 25.11% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Stoke City 52.59% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.44% (-0.01)
Swansea City 39.97% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.34% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 28.97% (+0.04)
Over 9 47.25% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.09% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.66% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 35.85% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 64.15% (+0.03)

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 37.92% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.08% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.75% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.66% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.34% (-0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 68.12% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 31.88% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33.98% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.02% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.61% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.39% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.78% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.22% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Stoke City 39.17%
Draw 26.77%
Swansea City 34.02%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36%
Other @ 4.58% (+0.01)
Total : 39.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 26.77%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 3.7% (+0.02)
Total : 34.02%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Zan Vipotnik 53' goal
  • Gustavo Nunes 66' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 80' yellowcard
  • Jay Fulton 80' yellowcard
  • Melker Widell 81' yellowcard
  • Jay Fulton 81' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 90' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 54'
  • yellowcard Milan Smit 54'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 70'
  • yellowcard Maksym Taloverov 75'
Championship
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sorba Thomas 27' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 42' goal
  • Ben Pearson 44' yellowcard
  • Sorba Thomas 60' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 17'
  • yellowcard Marko Stamenic 53'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 55'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 57'
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 77'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ben Pearson 41' yellowcard
  • Wouter Burger 64' goal
  • Joon-Ho Bae 73' goal
  • Lewis Baker 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 85' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 85' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 90'+3' goal
  • goal Josh Tymon 61'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 63'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 14'
  • yellowcard Andy Moran 63'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 90'+10'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Liam Cullen 19' goal
  • Jamie Paterson 43' yellowcard
  • Matt Grimes 53' goal
  • Harry Darling 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 67' yellowcard
  • Josh Key 73' goal
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 38'
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 61'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 90'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Josh Laurent 38' yellowcard
  • Lynden Gooch 42' yellowcard
  • Daniel Johnson 70' goal
  • Ben Pearson 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 41'
  • yellowcard Yannick Bolasie 84'
  • goal Harry Darling 89'