EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Birmingham City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 32.53% and a draw has a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-0 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.12%).

Result

Swansea City 32.53%
Draw 25.46%
Birmingham City 42.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.89%
Under 1.5 27.11%
Over 2.5 48.19%
Under 2.5 51.81%
Over 3.5 25.56%
Under 3.5 74.44%
Over 4.5 14.14%
Under 4.5 85.86%

First Half Winner

Swansea City 26.66%
Draw 43.83%
Birmingham City 29.51%

Team To Score First

Swansea City 44.14%
No Goal 7.72%
Birmingham City 48.14%

Corners

Over 8 51.34%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 36.6%
Over 9 39.65%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 48.66%
Over 10.5 29.26%
Under 10.5 70.74%

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 31.9%
Under 1.5 68.1%
Over 2.5 12.09%
Under 2.5 87.91%
Over 3.5 3.44%
Under 3.5 96.56%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 72.27%
Under 0.5 27.73%
Over 1.5 39.07%
Under 1.5 60.93%
Over 2.5 15.97%
Under 2.5 84.03%
Over 3.5 5.23%
Under 3.5 94.77%

Score analysis

Swansea City 32.54%
Draw 25.46%
Birmingham City 41.99%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 32.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 25.46%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 8.95%
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.38%
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 41.99%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Zan Vipotnik 21' goal
  • Liam Cullen 68' yellowcard
  • Malick Yalcouyé 68' yellowcard
  • Zeidane Inoussa 77' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 56'
  • goal Patrick Roberts 72'
  • yellowcard Willum Thór Willumsson 85'
Championship
Sep 20, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Ivan Sunjic 29' yellowcard
  • Siriki Dembele 38' goal
  • Jay Stansfield 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Scott Hogan 56' yellowcard
  • Lee Buchanan 83' yellowcard
  • Jordan James 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jordan James 90'+5' goal
  • goal Harry Darling 36'
  • goal Jamal Lowe 58'
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 70'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 76'
  • yellowcard Jerry Yates 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamie Paterson 2' yellowcard
  • Jerry Yates 76' goal
  • yellowcard T 27'
  • goal Siriki Dembele 45'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 87'
  • yellowcard Koji Miyoshi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joel Piroe 23' goal
  • Liam Cullen 29' goal
  • Joel Piroe 58' goal
  • goal Scott Hogan 14'
  • goal Tahith Chong 55'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 90'
  • goal Auston Trusty 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Scott Hogan 12' goal
  • Troy Deeney 89' goal
  • goal Olivier Ntcham 30'
  • goal Matt Grimes 45'+2'