Club Friendlies 3
Jul 22, 2026 7.30pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm
Burton Albion 0 - 0 Leicester

Birmingham City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 12.00pm
Birmingham 0 - 0 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 33.01% and a draw has a probability of 27.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 1-0 (10.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).

Result

Burton Albion 33.01% (-0.04)
Draw 27.89%
Birmingham City 39.05% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.41% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.57% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 30.43% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 43.55% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 56.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.23%
Under 3.5 77.77%
Over 4.5 11.53% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.47% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 27.02%
Draw 43.84% (-0.02)
Birmingham City 29.14% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 42.72% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.11%
Birmingham City 48.17% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.76% (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.09% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.15% (+0.06)
Over 9 47.19% (-0.08)
Equal 9 12.58% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.24% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 35.33% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 64.67% (+0.08)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 30.43% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.57% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.49% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 89.51% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.83% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.17% (+0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 69.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.02% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.1% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.9% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.18% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.82% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.08%
Under 3.5 95.92%

Score analysis

Burton Albion 33.01%
Draw 27.9%
Birmingham City 39.03%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.07% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.82% (-0.02)
Total : 33.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.9%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 11.19%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 7.07% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 39.03%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Finn Delap 84' yellowcard
  • Fabio Tavares 90'+4' goal
  • goal Alfons Sampsted 44'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Keshi Anderson 89'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jay Stansfield 26' goal
  • Max Crocombe 56' goal
  • yellowcard Udoka Godwin-Malife 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Max Crocombe 48'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 16, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Thomas Hamer 74' goal
  • goal George Hall 37'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 87'
Championship
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 56' yellowcard
  • David Davis 58' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 87' goal
  • goal Lloyd Dyer 48'
  • yellowcard Tom Naylor 50'
  • yellowcard Darren Bent 60'
FA Cup
Jan 6, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 37' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 56' goal
  • Jonathan Grounds 67' yellowcard
  • David Davis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Brayford 65'
  • yellowcard Ben Turner 75'
  • yellowcard Marvin Sordell 83'