League One Gameweek 43
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 3 Luton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 28.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 0-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12%).

Result

Burton Albion 46.18% (-0.04)
Draw 25.68% (+0.04)
AFC Wimbledon 28.14% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.91% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.09% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.14% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.86% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.1% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.9% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.89% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.11% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 33.09%
Draw 43.74%
AFC Wimbledon 23.17%

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 53.84% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.53% (+0.03)
AFC Wimbledon 39.63%

Corners

Over 8 61.27% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.17% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.56% (-0.07)
Over 9 49.57% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.73% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 38.33% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 61.67% (-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 45.2% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 54.8% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.39% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.61% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.38% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.62% (+0.05)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 64.54% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 35.46% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 30.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.02% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.02% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.98% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.36% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.64% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 46.17%
Draw 25.67%
AFC Wimbledon 28.14%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.23% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.18% (-0.05)
Total : 46.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.67%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 7.31% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.01% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.22% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16% (+0.02)
Total : 28.14%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Terry Taylor 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Deji Oshilaja 57' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jebbison 77' goal
  • goal Ollie Palmer 70'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke McCormick 90' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 45'+3'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 66'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Ben Heneghan 49' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Bostwick 59'
League One Gameweek 8
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Ciaran Gilligan 24' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 28' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 66' goal
  • goal Ryan Longman 65'
League One Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Mitchell Pinnock 16' goal
  • Anthony Hartigan 56' yellowcard
  • Callum Reilly 60' goal
  • Jack Rudoni 69' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Powell 7'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 28'
  • goal Jamie Murphy 41'