League One
Burton Albion
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
  • K. Lofthouse 55' goal
  • D. Williams 74' yellowcard
  • D. Williams 78' yellowcard
  • J. McKiernan 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Junior Nkeng 65'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 65'
  • yellowcard Layton Stewart 74'
  • yellowcard Osman Foyo 74'
  • yellowcard Antwoine Hackford 83'

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 3 Luton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 46.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.68%
AFC Wimbledon 28.14%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.1%
Under 3.5 69.9%
Over 4.5 16.88%
Under 4.5 83.12%

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 33.09%
Draw 43.74%
AFC Wimbledon 23.17%

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 53.84%
No Goal 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
AFC Wimbledon 39.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.27%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 27.56%
Over 9 49.57%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 38.73%
Over 10.5 38.33%
Under 10.5 61.67%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 45.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 20.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.61% ▼ (-0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 64.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.99% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.35%
Under 3.5 96.65%

Score analysis

Burton Albion 46.22%
Draw 25.68%
AFC Wimbledon 28.14%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 46.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.68%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.14%

Head to Head

League One
AFC Wimbledon
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
League One Gameweek 29
Burton Albion
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AFC Wimbledon
  • Terry Taylor 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Deji Oshilaja 57' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jebbison 77' goal
  • goal Ollie Palmer 70'
League One Gameweek 11
AFC Wimbledon
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Luke McCormick 90' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 45'+3'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 66'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 35
AFC Wimbledon
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Ben Heneghan 49' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Bostwick 59'
League One Gameweek 8
Burton Albion
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
  • Ciaran Gilligan 24' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 28' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 66' goal
  • goal Ryan Longman 65'
League One Gameweek 30
AFC Wimbledon
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Burton Albion
  • Mitchell Pinnock 16' goal
  • Anthony Hartigan 56' yellowcard
  • Callum Reilly 60' goal
  • Jack Rudoni 69' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Powell 7'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 28'
  • goal Jamie Murphy 41'

Form Data

Mansfield 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Barnsley
Blackpool 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 2 - 1 Bradford
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Reading
Northampton 0 - 2 Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 3 Luton
Lincoln 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Stockport 3 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 1 Peterborough
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 4 Leyton Orient
Stevenage 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon