Championship
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Fratton Park
  • Adrian Segecic 8' goal
  • Conor Chaplin 21' yellowcard
  • Regan Poole 46' yellowcard
  • Conor Shaughnessy 71' yellowcard
  • Thomas Waddingham 71' yellowcard
  • Marlon Pack 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seung-ho Paik 17'
  • goal August Priske 19'
  • yellowcard Tommy Doyle 54'

Portsmouth vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Stoke 1 - 3 Portsmouth
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Adrian Segecic

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Portsmouth 38.65% (+0.01)
Draw 25.78% (+0.02)
Birmingham City 35.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.1% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.92% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.08% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.47% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.53% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.22% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.78% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Portsmouth 30.31% (-0.02)
Draw 44.65% (-0.01)
Birmingham City 25.04% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Portsmouth 48.52% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.64% (+0.01)
Birmingham City 44.84%

Corners

Over 8 59.1% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.28%
Under 8 28.62% (+0.11)
Over 9 46.38% (-0.10)
Equal 9 12.72% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.9% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 34.45% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 65.55% (+0.08)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 1.5 39.62% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.38% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.77% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.23% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.88% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.12% (-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 69.89% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.11% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.4% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 62.6% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.62% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.38% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.55% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.45% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Portsmouth 38.65%
Draw 25.79%
Birmingham City 35.57%
Portsmouth
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.64% (+0.01)
Total : 38.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.64% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.01)
Total : 25.79%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 5.31% (+0.01)
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2019 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ellis Harrison 30' goal
  • Ellis Harrison 34' yellowcard
  • Ben Close 39' goal
  • Ellis Harrison 54' goal
  • yellowcard Wes Harding 20'
  • yellowcard Geraldo Bajrami 34'
  • yellowcard Agus Medina 41'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 75'
Championship
Mar 20, 2012 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Maguire 54' goal
  • David Norris 60' goal
  • Kelvin Etuhu 77' goal
  • yellowcard David Murphy 38'
  • yellowcard Curtis Davies 52'
  • redcard David Murphy 59'
Championship
Feb 7, 2012 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nathan Redmond 86' goal
Premier League
Mar 9, 2010 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Nadir Belhadj 79' yellowcard
  • Kanu 90' goal
  • goal Cameron Jerome 16'
  • yellowcard Christian Benítez 20'
  • goal Cameron Jerome 42'
Premier League
Aug 19, 2009 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James McFadden 90' goal
  • yellowcard Frederic Piquionne 78'
  • yellowcard David James 90'
  • yellowcard Younes Kaboul 90'
  • yellowcard Hayden Mullins 90'