Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.