League One Gameweek 44
Apr 19, 2026 1.00pm
Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough United vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 7.45pm
Peterborough 1 - 3 Port Vale
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Harry Leonard

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 32.45% and a draw has a probability of 24.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 1-2 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.14%).

Result

Peterborough United 43.33% (-2.04)
Draw 24.22% (-1.07)
Burton Albion 32.45% (+3.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.29% (+2.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.07% (+1.76)
Under 1.5 20.93% (-1.77)
Over 2.5 56.4% (+2.41)
Under 2.5 43.6% (-2.41)
Over 3.5 33.7% (+1.61)
Under 3.5 66.3% (-1.61)
Over 4.5 19.43% (+1.06)
Under 4.5 80.57% (-1.07)

First Half Winner

Peterborough United 34.96% (-0.93)
Draw 41.64% (-0.58)
Burton Albion 23.4% (+1.51)

Team To Score First

Peterborough United 53.31% (-2.84)
No Goal 5.47% (-0.67)
Burton Albion 41.22% (+3.50)

Corners

Over 8 67.66% (+2.90)
Equal 8 10.59% (+0.17)
Under 8 21.75% (-3.06)
Over 9 55.92% (+2.39)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.51)
Under 9 32.34% (-2.89)
Over 10.5 44.08% (+1.65)
Under 10.5 55.92% (-1.65)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 1.5 45.23% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 54.77% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 20.65% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 79.35% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 7.78% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 92.22% (+0.24)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 67.96% (+2.40)
Under 0.5 32.04% (-2.40)
Over 1.5 36.23% (+3.62)
Under 1.5 63.77% (-3.62)
Over 2.5 14.38% (+2.10)
Under 2.5 85.62% (-2.09)
Over 3.5 4.5% (+0.73)
Under 3.5 95.5% (-0.72)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 43.34%
Draw 24.22%
Burton Albion 32.45%
Peterborough United
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.19)
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.86)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.49)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.1% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.61% (-0.16)
Total : 43.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.62)
2-2 @ 6.04% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.67)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.08)
Total : 24.22%
Burton Albion
1-2 @ 7.96% (+0.79)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 4.75% (+0.45)
1-3 @ 3.52% (+0.53)
2-3 @ 2.82% (+0.37)
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.41)
Other @ 4.33% (+0.81)
Total : 32.45%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 18, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Kegs Chauke 6' goal
  • Rumarn Burrell 26' goal
  • Max Crocombe 77' yellowcard
  • Dylan Willis 78' yellowcard
  • Tomas Kalinauskas 87' yellowcard
  • goal Archie Collins 42'
  • goal Emmanuel Fernandez 77'
  • yellowcard Christopher Conn 80'
League One Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • goal Mason Bennett 64'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Deji Oshilaja 46' yellowcard
  • Ademola Ola-Adebomi 70' goal
  • Tom Hamer 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ricky Jade-Jones 56'
  • yellowcard Jadel Katongo 61'
  • goal Josh Knight 88'
  • goal Jonson Clarke-Harris 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Joel Randall 6' goal
  • Ephron Mason-Clark 44' goal
  • Ricky Jade-Jones 52' yellowcard
  • Cole Stockton 61' goal
  • Kwame Poku 66' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 9'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 37'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 54'
League One Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Joe Powell 28' goal
  • Jonny Smith 54' goal
  • goal Jonson Clarke-Harris 12'
  • goal Ephron Mason-Clark 19'
  • goal Harrison Burrows 38'
  • goal Jonson Clarke-Harris 51'
  • goal Joe Ward 64'