League One Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 1.00pm
Peterborough 1 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 3 - 3 Stockport
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 24.93% and a draw has a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.04%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).

Result

Burton Albion 50.55%
Draw 24.53%
Exeter City 24.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.17%
Under 1.5 23.83%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%
Over 3.5 30.1%
Under 3.5 69.9%
Over 4.5 17.03%
Under 4.5 82.97%

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 36.3%
Draw 45.38%
Exeter City 18.32%

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 57.98%
No Goal 6.42%
Exeter City 35.6%

Corners

Over 8 60.82%
Equal 8 11.69%
Under 8 27.49%
Over 9 48.58%
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 39.18%
Over 10.5 36.92%
Under 10.5 63.08%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 48.27%
Under 1.5 51.73%
Over 2.5 22.46%
Under 2.5 77.54%
Over 3.5 8.23%
Under 3.5 91.77%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 61.5%
Under 0.5 38.5%
Over 1.5 28.18%
Under 1.5 71.82%
Over 2.5 9.47%
Under 2.5 90.53%
Over 3.5 2.69%
Under 3.5 97.31%

Score analysis

Burton Albion 50.55%
Draw 24.53%
Exeter City 24.93%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 10.04%
2-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 8.13%
Total : 50.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.53%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 6.56%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.93%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 17
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Akeel Higgins 61' yellowcard
  • Joshua Brendan David Magennis 71' yellowcard
  • Joshua Brendan David Magennis 73' goal
  • K. McDonald 83' yellowcard
  • goal U. Godwin-Malife 64'
  • yellowcard J. McKiernan 70'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Kevin McDonald 27' yellowcard
  • Ed Turns 55' yellowcard
  • Angus MacDonald 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 33'
  • yellowcard Kyran Lofthouse 64'
  • yellowcard Kegs Chauke 86'
League One Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Billy Bodin 8' goal
  • Billy Bodin 8' goal
  • Kegs Chauke 21' yellowcard
  • Kegs Chauke 21' yellowcard
  • Jason Sraha 59' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Gilligan 69' yellowcard
  • Terence Vancooten 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 13'
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 13'
  • yellowcard Kevin McDonald 43'
  • yellowcard Kevin McDonald 43'
  • goal Josh Magennis 45'+2'
  • goal Josh Magennis 45'+2'
  • goal Millenic Alli 71'
  • yellowcard Millenic Alli 81'
  • yellowcard Jake Richards 85'
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park
  • Pierce Sweeney 30' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 41' goal
  • Jack Aitchison 43' yellowcard
  • Zak Jules 45'+6' redcard
  • Tom Carroll 65' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Caprice 2'
  • yellowcard Rekeem Harper 55'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Carayol 83'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Joe Powell 26' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 59' yellowcard
  • Steve Seddon 81' yellowcard
  • Steve Seddon 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Reece Cole 45'+3'
  • goal Ryan Trevitt 75'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Sam Winnall 84' goal