Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.