League One Gameweek 43
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
Home Park

Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 0 - 3 Plymouth
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Aribim Pepple

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 3 - 0 Doncaster
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 26.97% and a draw has a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-2 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.87%).

Result

Plymouth Argyle 49.12% (+0.08)
Draw 23.91% (-0.02)
Exeter City 26.97% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.62% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.21% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 19.79% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.46%
Under 2.5 41.54%
Over 3.5 35.89% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.11% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 21.41% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.59% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Plymouth Argyle 36.36%
Draw 41.12%
Exeter City 22.52%

Team To Score First

Plymouth Argyle 56.51% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.01%
Exeter City 38.48% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.02% (-0.35)
Equal 8 10.81% (+0.08)
Under 8 23.17% (+0.28)
Over 9 54.2% (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.06)
Under 9 33.98% (+0.34)
Over 10.5 42.44% (-0.41)
Under 10.5 57.56% (+0.41)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 1.5 50.88% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 49.12% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 25.21% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 74.79% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.27%
Under 3.5 89.73%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 64.79% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.21% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.51% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 67.49% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.28% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 87.72% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.81% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.19% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 49.12%
Draw 23.91%
Exeter City 26.97%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 9.97% (+0.01)
Total : 49.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 23.91%
Exeter City
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.51% (-0.02)
Total : 26.97%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Matt Butcher 70'
League One Gameweek 17
Oct 31, 2022 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Home Park
  • Morgan Whittaker 27' goal
  • Bali Mumba 58' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 70' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 84' goal
  • goal Archie Collins 25'
  • goal Sam Nombe 52'
League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2020 7.45pm
Home Park
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 26, 2019 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Bowman 39' yellowcard
  • Nicky Law 42' goal
  • Tom Parkes 49' goal
  • Randell Williams 67' goal
  • Tom Parkes 77' yellowcard
  • Nicky Law 83' goal
  • yellowcard Callum McFadzean 12'
  • yellowcard Antoni Sarcevic 93'
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ryan Edwards 19' goal
  • Jamie Ness 63' yellowcard
  • Nathan Blissett 75' goal
  • goal Liam McAlinden 13'
  • goal Kyle Edwards 70'
  • yellowcard Luke Croll 83'