Championship Gameweek 4
Birmingham
Sep 1, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Southampton
  • Bright Osayi-Samuel 45'+1' yellowcard
  • August Priske 55' goal
  • Jhon Solís 77' yellowcard
  • Luis Vázquez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Keven Schlotterbeck 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Divin Mubama 72'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 90'+2'

Birmingham City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
Wrexham 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Phil Neumann

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Birmingham City 36.84% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 26.04%
Southampton 37.08% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.33% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 52.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 47.91% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 30.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.24%
Under 4.5 82.76%

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 26.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 38.8%
Southampton 34.45% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 43.02% ▼ (-0.16)
No Goal 7.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Southampton 49.97% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 64.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.35%
Under 8 24.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 53.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 35.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 42.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 57.41% ▼ (-0.08)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 37.67% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 70.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 29.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 38.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.36% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.48% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 36.84%
Draw 26.04%
Southampton 37.08%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 26.04%
Southampton
0-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 37.08%

Head to Head

Championship
Birmingham
Dec 29, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • Phil Neumann 49' goal
  • Phil Neumann 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 41'
  • yellowcard Caspar Jander 48'
  • goal Cameron Archer 71'
Championship
Southampton
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Birmingham
  • Finn Azaz 6' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 24' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 58' goal
  • Joe Aribo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tonda Eckert 90'+6' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 49'
  • goal Demarai Gray 54'
Championship Gameweek 35
Birmingham
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Southampton
  • Koji Miyoshi 2' goal
  • Koji Miyoshi 24' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 41' goal
  • Dion Sanderson 62' redcard
  • Juninho Bacuna 77' goal
  • Ivan Sunjic 87' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 88' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Armstrong 18'
  • goal David Brooks 55'
  • goal Che Adams 59'
  • yellowcard William Smallbone 67'
  • goal Joe Aribo 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 14
Southampton
Oct 28, 2023 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Birmingham
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 9' goal
  • Carlos Alcaraz 22' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 86' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 44'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 58'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 80'
  • yellowcard Jordan James 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 90'+9'
Championship
Birmingham
Feb 4, 2012 5.20pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • Steve Caldwell 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Fox 22'
  • redcard Danny Fox 83'
Championship
Southampton
Sep 18, 2011 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Birmingham
  • Rickie Lambert 11' goal
  • Rickie Lambert 34' goal
  • Richard Chaplow 78' goal
  • yellowcard Steve Caldwell 10'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Spector 14'
  • goal Chris Wood 49'
  • yellowcard Stephen Carr 81'

Form Data

Wrexham 1 - 2 Birmingham
Birmingham 1 - 6 Brentford
Birmingham 2 - 2 Bristol City
Sheff Utd 0 - 0 Birmingham
Swansea 0 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 2 - 2 Barcelona
Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall
Southampton 1 - 4 West Ham
Southampton 3 - 1 Stoke
Watford 2 - 1 Southampton
Colchester 0 - 2 Southampton
Preussen Munster 1 - 2 Southampton