Championship Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2026 8.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
Wrexham 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Phil Neumann

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Birmingham City has a probability of 36.73% and a draw has a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 1-0 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).

Result

Birmingham City 36.73% (+0.18)
Draw 26.08% (-0.02)
Southampton 37.2% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.23% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.42% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 24.58% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 52.01% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 47.99% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 30.64% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.36% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.2% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.8% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 26.7% (-0.02)
Draw 38.8% (-0.08)
Southampton 34.5% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 43.18% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.04% (+0.05)
Southampton 49.78% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 64.66% (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.35% (-0.02)
Under 8 24.99% (-0.28)
Over 9 53.53% (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.13% (+0.02)
Under 9 35.34% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 42.52% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 57.48% (-0.25)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 37.53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.47% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.11% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.89% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.71%
Under 3.5 95.29%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 70.39% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 29.61% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 38.66% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 61.34% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 16.79% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.21% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.54% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.46% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 36.72%
Draw 26.07%
Southampton 37.19%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 9.06% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 4.49% (+0.01)
Total : 36.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.04% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 26.07%
Southampton
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.32%
Total : 37.19%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 29, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Phil Neumann 49' goal
  • Phil Neumann 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 41'
  • yellowcard Caspar Jander 48'
  • goal Cameron Archer 71'
Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Finn Azaz 6' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 24' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 58' goal
  • Joe Aribo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tonda Eckert 90'+6' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 49'
  • goal Demarai Gray 54'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Koji Miyoshi 2' goal
  • Koji Miyoshi 24' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 41' goal
  • Dion Sanderson 62' redcard
  • Juninho Bacuna 77' goal
  • Ivan Sunjic 87' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 88' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Armstrong 18'
  • goal David Brooks 55'
  • goal Che Adams 59'
  • yellowcard William Smallbone 67'
  • goal Joe Aribo 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 9' goal
  • Carlos Alcaraz 22' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 86' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 44'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 58'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 80'
  • yellowcard Jordan James 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 90'+9'
Championship
Feb 4, 2012 5.20pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steve Caldwell 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Fox 22'
  • redcard Danny Fox 83'
Championship
Sep 18, 2011 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rickie Lambert 11' goal
  • Rickie Lambert 34' goal
  • Richard Chaplow 78' goal
  • yellowcard Steve Caldwell 10'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Spector 14'
  • goal Chris Wood 49'
  • yellowcard Stephen Carr 81'