Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Racecourse Ground
  • Callum Doyle 54' goal
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Cochrane 7'
  • goal Phil Neumann 13'
  • yellowcard Bright Osayi-Samuel 50'
  • goal Phil Neumann 63'

Wrexham vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Wrexham 1 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Birmingham 2 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Phil Neumann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Wrexham 37.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 27.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Birmingham City 35.74% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.09% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 48.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 51.9% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 73.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.55% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 26.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 43.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Birmingham City 29.8% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Wrexham 44.7% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 7.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Birmingham City 47.43% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 55.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 12.04% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 8 32.6% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 9 43.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.01% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 9 44.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 32.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 67.6% ▲ (+0.10)

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 36.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.27%
Under 2.5 85.73%
Over 3.5 4.55%
Under 3.5 95.45%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 69.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 30.75% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 35.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 64.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 13.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 86.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.76% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Wrexham 37.14%
Draw 27.12%
Birmingham City 35.74%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 37.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.12%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 35.74%

Head to Head

Championship
Apr 12, 2026 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Seung-ho Paik 46' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 48' goal
  • Christoph Klarer 71' goal
  • Demarai Gray 78' yellowcard
  • Tommy Doyle 85' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Windass 63'
  • yellowcard Nathan Broadhead 63'
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 74'
  • yellowcard D. Keillor-Dunn 86'
Championship
Oct 3, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT SToK Cae Ras
  • Oliver Rathbone 9' goal
  • Oliver Rathbone 69' yellowcard
  • goal Lyndon Dykes 19'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jay Stansfield 22' goal
  • Christoph Klarer 36' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 52' goal
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 54' yellowcard
  • Tomoki Iwata 59' goal
  • Krystian Bielik 81' yellowcard
  • Keshi Anderson 82' yellowcard
  • Krystian Bielik 86' redcard
  • goal Jack Marriott 3'
  • yellowcard Andy Cannon 81'
  • yellowcard James McClean 81'
  • yellowcard Paul Mullin 82'