Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Wrexham 1 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Birmingham 2 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Demarai Gray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wrexham win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Birmingham City has a probability of 35.65% and a draw has a probability of 27.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 0-1 (9.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result

Wrexham 37.2% (-0.61)
Draw 27.15% (-0.45)
Birmingham City 35.65% (+1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.05% (+1.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.17% (+1.35)
Under 1.5 26.83% (-1.35)
Over 2.5 48.04% (+1.79)
Under 2.5 51.96% (-1.79)
Over 3.5 26.83% (+1.52)
Under 3.5 73.17% (-1.52)
Over 4.5 14.41% (+1.03)
Under 4.5 85.59% (-1.04)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 26.63% (-0.02)
Draw 43.66% (+0.09)
Birmingham City 29.72% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Wrexham 44.73% (+0.26)
No Goal 7.89% (-0.55)
Birmingham City 47.38% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 55.21% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.02)
Under 8 32.88% (-0.15)
Over 9 43.34% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.87% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.79% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 32.5% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 67.5% (-0.08)

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 36.37% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 63.63% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 14.27% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 85.73% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 4.55% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 95.45% (-0.19)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 69.16% (+1.30)
Under 0.5 30.84% (-1.31)
Over 1.5 35.11% (+1.71)
Under 1.5 64.89% (-1.71)
Over 2.5 13.45% (+1.09)
Under 2.5 86.55% (-1.10)
Over 3.5 4.21% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 95.79% (-0.46)

Score analysis

Wrexham 37.19%
Draw 27.14%
Birmingham City 35.65%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.56)
2-1 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 3.66% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.13)
Other @ 4.49% (+0.19)
Total : 37.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.55)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 27.14%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 7.77% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 6.1% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.38% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.56% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.33% (+0.19)
Other @ 4.15% (+0.46)
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head

Championship
Apr 12, 2026 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Seung-ho Paik 46' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 48' goal
  • Christoph Klarer 71' goal
  • Demarai Gray 78' yellowcard
  • Tommy Doyle 85' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Windass 63'
  • yellowcard Nathan Broadhead 63'
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 74'
  • yellowcard D. Keillor-Dunn 86'
Championship
Oct 3, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT SToK Cae Ras
  • Oliver Rathbone 9' goal
  • Oliver Rathbone 69' yellowcard
  • goal Lyndon Dykes 19'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jay Stansfield 22' goal
  • Christoph Klarer 36' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 52' goal
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 54' yellowcard
  • Tomoki Iwata 59' goal
  • Krystian Bielik 81' yellowcard
  • Keshi Anderson 82' yellowcard
  • Krystian Bielik 86' redcard
  • goal Jack Marriott 3'
  • yellowcard Andy Cannon 81'
  • yellowcard James McClean 81'
  • yellowcard Paul Mullin 82'