Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2026 8.00pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
Norwich 4 - 2 Cardiff

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Wrexham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Wrexham has a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Wrexham win it is 1-2 (5.62%).

Result

Cardiff City 55.85% (+0.01)
Draw 22.4% (-0.02)
Wrexham 21.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.45% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.35% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 41.65% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.34%
Under 3.5 63.66%
Over 4.5 22.84% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.16% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 45.4% (+0.04)
Draw 39.75% (-0.04)
Wrexham 14.85%

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 66.66% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.21% (-0.01)
Wrexham 28.13% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 64.87% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.76% (-0.01)
Under 8 24.37% (+0.06)
Over 9 53.25% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.03)
Under 9 35.13% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.78%
Under 10.5 58.22%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 55.26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 44.74% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 29.55% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 70.45% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 13.2%
Under 3.5 86.8%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 57.93% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.07% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.15% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.85% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.94%
Under 2.5 90.06%
Over 3.5 3.15%
Under 3.5 96.85%

Score analysis

Cardiff City 55.86%
Draw 22.4%
Wrexham 21.75%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 6.05%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.9%
Total : 55.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.4%
Wrexham
1-2 @ 5.62%
0-1 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 21.75%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Oct 28, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT