Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Rubin Colwill 90'+8' goal
  • Brian Barry-Murphy 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Kieffer Moore 3'
  • yellowcard Kieffer Moore 33'
  • yellowcard Dominic Hyam 54'

Cardiff City vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
Norwich 4 - 2 Cardiff

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Wrexham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.42% and a win for Wrexham had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Wrexham win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff City 57.3% ▲ (+1.24)
Draw 21.42% ▼ (-0.93)
Wrexham 21.31% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.29% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 19.71% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 58.65% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 41.35% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 36.36% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 63.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 77.11% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 46.32% ▲ (+0.93)
Draw 38.03% ▼ (-1.70)
Wrexham 15.65% ▲ (+0.77)

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 66.46% ▼ (-0.30)
No Goal 5.01% ▼ (-0.21)
Wrexham 28.53% ▲ (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 60.8% ▼ (-4.05)
Equal 8 11.16% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 8 28.05% ▲ (+3.68)
Over 9 49.15% ▼ (-4.07)
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 39.2% ▲ (+4.05)
Over 10.5 38.01% ▼ (-3.72)
Under 10.5 61.99% ▲ (+3.72)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 56.09% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 1.5 43.91% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 2.5 30.09% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 69.91% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 13.33% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 86.67% ▼ (-0.08)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 57.08% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 0.5 42.92% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 1.5 26.63% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 73.37% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 2.5 9.5% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 90.5% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 2.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.08% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 57.29%
Draw 21.43%
Wrexham 21.3%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 13.17% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 57.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.37)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 21.43%
Wrexham
1-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 21.3%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Oct 28, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT