EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Swindon Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 24.43% and a draw has a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 1-2 (6.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.32%).

Result

Cardiff City 53.6%
Draw 22.01%
Swindon Town 24.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.12%
Under 1.5 16.88%
Over 2.5 63.45%
Under 2.5 36.55%
Over 3.5 41.08%
Under 3.5 58.92%
Over 4.5 26.43%
Under 4.5 73.57%

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 41.89%
Draw 38.01%
Swindon Town 20.1%

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 62.31%
No Goal 4.57%
Swindon Town 33.12%

Corners

Over 8 62.81%
Equal 8 10.57%
Under 8 26.63%
Over 9 51.61%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 37.19%
Over 10.5 40.7%
Under 10.5 59.3%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 56.55%
Under 1.5 43.45%
Over 2.5 31.25%
Under 2.5 68.75%
Over 3.5 14.16%
Under 3.5 85.84%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.52%
Under 0.5 38.48%
Over 1.5 31.78%
Under 1.5 68.22%
Over 2.5 12.6%
Under 2.5 87.4%
Over 3.5 4.46%
Under 3.5 95.54%

Score analysis

Cardiff City 53.61%
Draw 22.02%
Swindon Town 24.42%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-0 @ 5.23%
3-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 13.84%
Total : 53.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 4.57%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.02%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-1 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 3%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 24.42%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Tyrese Shade 73' goal
  • Jacob Wakeling 87' goal
  • goal Max Watters 14'
  • goal Andy Rinomhota 17'
  • goal Ryan Wintle 44'
  • goal Sheyi Ojo 76'