Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 73.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.49% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%) , while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.76%).