League One
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Ollie Tanner 9' goal
  • Joel Colwill 19' goal
  • Callum Robinson 37' goal
  • Ollie Tanner 54' goal
  • Yousef Salech 55' yellowcard
  • Alex Robertson 55' yellowcard
  • Isaak Davies 65' yellowcard
  • Omari Kellyman 65' yellowcard
  • Yousef Salech 85' goal
  • Rob Tankiewicz 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard E. List 46'
  • yellowcard Kyle McAdam 46'
  • yellowcard Jake Evans 66'
  • goal Jake Evans 68'
  • yellowcard Terry Taylor 80'
  • yellowcard Michael Jacobs 81'

Cardiff City vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff 1 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Northampton 1 - 3 Doncaster
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 73.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.49% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 8.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%) , while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.76%).

Result

Cardiff City 73.55%
Draw 17.49%
Northampton Town 8.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.78%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.14%
Under 1.5 23.86%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%
Over 3.5 32.37%
Under 3.5 67.63%
Over 4.5 22.83%
Under 4.5 77.17%

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 56.2%
Draw 34.04%
Northampton Town 9.76%

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 73.34% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.59% (+0.02)
Northampton Town 20.07% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 70.96%
Equal 8 9.62%
Under 8 19.43%
Over 9 60.02%
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 29.04%
Over 10.5 48.67%
Under 10.5 51.33%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 63.78%
Under 1.5 36.22%
Over 2.5 38.1%
Under 2.5 61.9%
Over 3.5 19.03% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 80.97% (+0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 37.75% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 62.25% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 10.76% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 89.24% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 2.07% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 97.93% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.37%
Under 3.5 99.63%

Score analysis

Cardiff City 73.54%
Draw 17.49%
Northampton Town 8.96%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 13.5% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 13.43%
3-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.43%
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 18.99% (-0.02)
Total : 73.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 17.49%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 3.76%
1-2 @ 2.5%
0-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 8.96%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Sep 5, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Nicky Adams 23' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 33' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 46' yellowcard
  • Matthew Warburton 49' goal
  • Ryan Watson 57' yellowcard
  • Ryan Watson 59' goal
  • Matthew Warburton 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 28'
  • yellowcard Junior Hoilett 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Sang 79'