League One Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 3 Cardiff
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Northampton 1 - 3 Doncaster
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 73.08%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 9.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.88%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.96%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (3.83%).

Result

Cardiff City 73.08%
Draw 17.5%
Northampton Town 9.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 77%
Under 1.5 23%
Over 2.5 54.6%
Under 2.5 45.4%
Over 3.5 32.63%
Under 3.5 67.37%
Over 4.5 23.09%
Under 4.5 76.91%

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 56.07%
Draw 33.38%
Northampton Town 10.54%

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 73.53%
No Goal 6.29%
Northampton Town 20.18%

Corners

Over 8 68.65%
Equal 8 9.84%
Under 8 21.5%
Over 9 57.71%
Equal 9 10.95%
Under 9 31.35%
Over 10.5 46.54%
Under 10.5 53.46%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 63.97%
Under 1.5 36.03%
Over 2.5 38.34%
Under 2.5 61.66%
Over 3.5 19.45%
Under 3.5 80.55%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 38.63%
Under 0.5 61.37%
Over 1.5 11.09%
Under 1.5 88.91%
Over 2.5 2.15%
Under 2.5 97.85%
Over 3.5 0.35%
Under 3.5 99.65%

Score analysis

Cardiff City 73.07%
Draw 17.5%
Northampton Town 9.43%
Cardiff City
2-0 @ 13.09%
1-0 @ 12.88%
3-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-1 @ 6.41%
3-2 @ 2.24%
Other @ 19.42%
Total : 73.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.96%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 17.5%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 3.83%
1-2 @ 2.68%
0-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 9.43%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Sep 5, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Nicky Adams 23' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 33' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 46' yellowcard
  • Matthew Warburton 49' goal
  • Ryan Watson 57' yellowcard
  • Ryan Watson 59' goal
  • Matthew Warburton 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 28'
  • yellowcard Junior Hoilett 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Sang 79'