League One Gameweek 41
Apr 22, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Huddersfield 1 - 1 Cardiff
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 7.45pm
Peterborough 1 - 3 Port Vale
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw has a probability of 18.05% and a win for Port Vale has a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.13%) , while for a Port Vale win it is 1-2 (3.99%).

Result

Cardiff City 66.7%
Draw 18.05%
Port Vale 15.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.34%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.75%
Under 1.5 16.25%
Over 2.5 63.63%
Under 2.5 36.37%
Over 3.5 40.84%
Under 3.5 59.16%
Over 4.5 28.28%
Under 4.5 71.72%

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 54.86%
Draw 33.76%
Port Vale 11.38%

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 74.23%
No Goal 4.03%
Port Vale 21.74%

Corners

Over 8 61.07%
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 28.11%
Over 9 49.78%
Equal 9 11.29%
Under 9 38.93%
Over 10.5 38.94%
Under 10.5 61.06%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 65.44%
Under 1.5 34.56%
Over 2.5 39.43%
Under 2.5 60.57%
Over 3.5 20.32%
Under 3.5 79.68%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 49.16%
Under 0.5 50.84%
Over 1.5 20.87%
Under 1.5 79.13%
Over 2.5 6.99%
Under 2.5 93.01%
Over 3.5 2.17%
Under 3.5 97.83%

Score analysis

Cardiff City 66.7%
Draw 18.04%
Port Vale 15.26%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 10.02%
2-0 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 8.67%
3-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-2 @ 3.28%
Other @ 20.14%
Total : 66.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 4.54%
0-0 @ 4.03%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.04%
Port Vale
1-2 @ 3.99%
0-1 @ 3.55%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 15.26%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 7, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Cup
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michael O'Connor 34' goal
  • Louis Dodds 48' yellowcard
  • Michael Brown 93' goal
  • goal Joe Ralls 26'
  • goal Federico Macheda 60'
  • yellowcard Adedeji Oshilaja 78'
  • goal Federico Macheda 79'