League One Gameweek 41
Apr 22, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Omari Kellyman 62' yellowcard
  • Will Fish 62' yellowcard
  • Chris Willock 62' yellowcard
  • Rubin Colwill 79' goal
  • Joel Bagan 83' yellowcard
  • Ryan Wintle 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Waine 72'
  • yellowcard E. Archer 72'
  • yellowcard Jaheim Headley 72'
  • yellowcard Onel Lázaro Hernández Mayea 72'
  • yellowcard J. Shipley 85'

Cardiff City vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 3 Cardiff
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 0 - 0 Wigan
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.93% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff City 66.51% (+0.27)
Draw 17.93% (-0.22)
Port Vale 15.56% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.85% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 63.74% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 36.26% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 40.98% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 59.02% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 28.33% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 71.67% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 55.21% (+0.33)
Draw 33.7% (-0.15)
Port Vale 11.09% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 74.85% (+0.74)
No Goal 3.95% (-0.07)
Port Vale 21.2% (-0.68)

Corners

Over 8 60.42% (-0.83)
Equal 8 10.81%
Under 8 28.77% (+0.83)
Over 9 49.19% (-0.75)
Equal 9 11.23% (-0.08)
Under 9 39.58% (+0.83)
Over 10.5 38.45% (-0.62)
Under 10.5 61.55% (+0.62)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 65.28% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 34.72% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 39.26% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 60.74% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 20.1% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 79.9% (+0.13)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 49.57% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.43% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 21.28% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.72% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.18% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 92.82% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.28% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.72% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 66.52%
Draw 17.94%
Port Vale 15.57%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 10% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.87% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.71% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 6.63% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.38% (+0.09)
Other @ 19.94% (-0.08)
Total : 66.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.09% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.05)
Total : 17.94%
Port Vale
1-2 @ 4.06% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.57% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.12% (-0.03)
Total : 15.57%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 7, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Cup
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michael O'Connor 34' goal
  • Louis Dodds 48' yellowcard
  • Michael Brown 93' goal
  • goal Joe Ralls 26'
  • goal Federico Macheda 60'
  • yellowcard Adedeji Oshilaja 78'
  • goal Federico Macheda 79'