Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.93% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.