Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.02%. A draw had a probability of 30.11% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%) , while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.