Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.00pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 1.00pm
Bristol City 1 - 3 Swindon

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 5 - 5 Southend

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw has a probability of 23.09% and a win for Leyton Orient has a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.29%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Leyton Orient win it is 0-1 (6.02%).

Result

Swindon Town 54.09% (-0.08)
Draw 23.09% (+0.11)
Leyton Orient 22.82% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.84% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.83% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 23.17% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 53.95% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 46.05% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 31.98% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 68.02% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 19.09% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 80.91% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 37.26% (-2.21)
Draw 42.66% (+1.92)
Leyton Orient 20.07% (+0.27)

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 58% (-0.90)
No Goal 6.25% (+0.13)
Leyton Orient 35.75% (+0.79)

Corners

Over 8 61.87% (-0.17)
Equal 8 11.22% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.91% (+0.15)
Over 9 50.05% (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 38.13% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 38.66% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 61.34% (+0.16)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 51.26% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 48.74% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 25.08% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 74.92% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 10.18% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 89.82% (+0.05)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 58.87% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 41.13% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 26.14% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 73.86% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 9.2% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 90.8% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.62% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.38% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 54.08%
Draw 23.08%
Leyton Orient 22.81%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.87% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 10.29% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.11% (-0.05)
Total : 54.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.25% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 23.08%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 6.02% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55% (-0.05)
Total : 22.81%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Breyer Group Stadium
  • Omar Beckles 12' goal
  • goal Jacob Wakeling 64'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Harry McKirdy 4' goal
  • Jacob Wakeling 74' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Smyth 7'
  • yellowcard Idris El Mizouni 71'
  • yellowcard Tom James 88'
League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Louie Barry 37' yellowcard
  • Jake O'Brien 38' yellowcard
  • Josh Davison 78' goal
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 18'
  • goal Omar Beckles 20'
  • redcard Hector Kyprianou 24'
  • yellowcard Shadrach Ogie 37'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 37'
  • yellowcard Theo Archibald 38'
  • goal Omar Beckles 54'
  • yellowcard Jordan Brown 89'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Craig Clay 12' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 19' goal
  • Dan Kemp 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Omar Beckles 56' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 60' goal
  • Harry Smith 64' goal
  • Shadrach Ogie 76' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 82' goal
  • goal Harry McKirdy 42'
  • yellowcard Harry McKirdy 64'
  • yellowcard Louis Reed 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 18, 2020 3.00pm
County Ground
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 7, 2019 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Lee Angol 38' yellowcard
  • Jordan Maguire-Drew 74' goal
  • Dale Gorman 77' yellowcard
  • Sam Ling 93' yellowcard
  • goal Keshi Anderson 23'
  • goal Joe Widdowson 43' (OG)
  • goal Jerry Yates 45'
  • yellowcard Keshi Anderson 87'