EFL Cup
Aug 7, 2026 8.00pm
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Wrexham

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw has a probability of 22.22% and a win for Wrexham has a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Wrexham win it is 0-1 (5.78%).

Result

Middlesbrough 57.71%
Draw 22.22%
Wrexham 20.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.5%
Under 1.5 22.5%
Over 2.5 55.46%
Under 2.5 44.54%
Over 3.5 33.13%
Under 3.5 66.87%
Over 4.5 20.93%
Under 4.5 79.07%

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 44.58%
Draw 37.78%
Wrexham 17.65%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 62.5%
No Goal 6.05%
Wrexham 31.45%

Corners

Over 8 61.86%
Equal 8 10.4%
Under 8 27.74%
Over 9 50.93%
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 38.14%
Over 10.5 40.33%
Under 10.5 59.67%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 54.77%
Under 1.5 45.23%
Over 2.5 29.24%
Under 2.5 70.76%
Over 3.5 13.1%
Under 3.5 86.9%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 54.97%
Under 0.5 45.03%
Over 1.5 23.42%
Under 1.5 76.58%
Over 2.5 7.6%
Under 2.5 92.4%
Over 3.5 2.15%
Under 3.5 97.85%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 57.71%
Draw 22.22%
Wrexham 20.05%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.12%
3-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 12.93%
Total : 57.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.22%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 5.78%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.05%

Head to Head

Championship
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Racecourse Ground
  • Josh Windass 28' goal
  • Sam Smith 41' goal
  • Nathan Broadhead 63' yellowcard
  • Ben Sheaf 63' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 73' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 73' yellowcard
  • D. Keillor-Dunn 83' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Conway 4'
  • goal David Strelec 43'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 45'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 46'
  • yellowcard Leo Castledine 71'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 71'
  • yellowcard Kaly Sène 87'
Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT