Championship
Hull City
May 23, 2026 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Joe Gelhardt 63' yellowcard
  • Yu Hirakawa 76' yellowcard
  • Cody Drameh 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Cody Drameh 77' yellowcard
  • Oliver McBurnie 90'+5' goal
  • Patrick James Coleman McNair 90'+8' yellowcard
  • John Lundstram 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 70'
  • yellowcard Sontje Hansen 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Cruz Ibeh 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Cruz Ibeh 90'+9'

Hull City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.00pm
Millwall 0 - 2 Hull City
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Oliver McBurnie

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2026 8.00pm
Southampton 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Hull City 25.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 25.2% ▼ (-0.11)
Middlesbrough 49.05% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.3% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.55% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 26.45% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 48.7% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 51.3% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 27% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 73% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 4.5 14.99% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 85.01% ▼ (-0.21)

Hull City Goals

Over 1.5 26.42% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 73.58% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 8.52% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 91.48% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 2.22% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.78% ▼ (-0.05)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 77.14% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 22.86% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 45.38% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 54.62% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 20.7% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 79.3% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 7.67% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.33% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Hull City 25.75%
Draw 25.2%
Middlesbrough 49.06%
Hull City
1-0 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 25.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.2%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 49.06%

Head to Head

Championship
Middlesbrough
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Hull City
  • Sontje Hansen 78' yellowcard
  • goal Darko Gyabi 12'
  • yellowcard Cathal McCarthy 15'
  • yellowcard Babajide David 31'
  • yellowcard Sergej Jakirovic 32'
  • yellowcard John Egan 57'
  • yellowcard John Egan 58'
  • yellowcard Kyle Joseph 64'
Championship
Hull City
Dec 5, 2025 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 4
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Regan Slater 58' yellowcard
  • Joe Gelhardt 62' goal
  • goal David Strelec 9'
  • goal Alex Gilbert 32'
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 35'
  • goal Riley McGree 44'
Championship Gameweek 25
Hull City
Jan 1, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT KCOM Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Harry Vaughan 84' yellowcard
  • Alfie Jones 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Barlaser 14'
  • goal Alex Gilbert 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Hull City
  • Finn Azaz 24' goal
  • Tommy Conway 41' goal
  • Neto Borges 46' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 79' goal
  • yellowcard Lewie Coyle 39'
  • goal Mason Burstow 71'
  • yellowcard Sean McLoughlin 72'
Championship Gameweek 42
Hull City
Apr 10, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT KCOM Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 29' goal
  • Jean Michael Seri 41' goal
  • Ryan Giles 84' yellowcard
  • Fabio Carvalho 86' yellowcard
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 4'
  • goal Finn Azaz 71'
Championship Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
Dec 13, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Hull City
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 6' goal
  • yellowcard Lewie Coyle 65'
  • goal Liam Delap 69'
  • goal Ozan Tufan 82'

Form Data

Millwall 0 - 2 Hull City
Hull City 0 - 0 Millwall
Hull City 2 - 1 Norwich
Charlton 2 - 1 Hull City
Leicester 2 - 2 Hull City
Hull City 1 - 1 Birmingham
Southampton 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Southampton
Wrexham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 5 - 1 Watford
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Sheff Weds
Ipswich 2 - 2 Middlesbrough

Build-up

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