Championship
May 23, 2026 1.00am
Wembley Stadium

Hull City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.00pm
Millwall 0 - 2 Hull City
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Joe Gelhardt

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2026 8.00pm
Southampton 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Hull City has a probability of 25.75% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Hull City win is 1-0 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).

Result

Hull City 25.75% (+0.25)
Draw 25.2% (-0.06)
Middlesbrough 49.05% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.66% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 26.34% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 48.8% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 51.2% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 27.1% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 72.9% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 15.05% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 84.95% (-0.24)

Hull City Goals

Over 1.5 26.49% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 73.51% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.56% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 91.44% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.23% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.77% (+0.07)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 77.2% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 22.8% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 45.46% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.54% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.75% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 79.25% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 7.69% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 92.31% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Hull City 25.75%
Draw 25.2%
Middlesbrough 49.06%
Hull City
1-0 @ 7.77% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.31% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.12% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.46% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.13% (-0.07)
Total : 25.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 25.2%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.24)
1-3 @ 4.91% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.65% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.59% (+0.33)
Total : 49.06%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sontje Hansen 78' yellowcard
  • goal Darko Gyabi 12'
  • yellowcard Cathal McCarthy 15'
  • yellowcard Babajide David 31'
  • yellowcard Sergej Jakirovic 32'
  • yellowcard John Egan 57'
  • yellowcard John Egan 58'
  • yellowcard Kyle Joseph 64'
Championship
Dec 5, 2025 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 4
FT
  • Regan Slater 58' yellowcard
  • Joe Gelhardt 62' goal
  • goal David Strelec 9'
  • goal Alex Gilbert 32'
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 35'
  • goal Riley McGree 44'
Championship Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Harry Vaughan 84' yellowcard
  • Alfie Jones 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Barlaser 14'
  • goal Alex Gilbert 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Finn Azaz 24' goal
  • Tommy Conway 41' goal
  • Neto Borges 46' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 79' goal
  • yellowcard Lewie Coyle 39'
  • goal Mason Burstow 71'
  • yellowcard Sean McLoughlin 72'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 29' goal
  • Jean Michael Seri 41' goal
  • Ryan Giles 84' yellowcard
  • Fabio Carvalho 86' yellowcard
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 4'
  • goal Finn Azaz 71'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 6' goal
  • yellowcard Lewie Coyle 65'
  • goal Liam Delap 69'
  • goal Ozan Tufan 82'