Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Leo Castledine 8' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 31' goal
  • Leo Castledine 53' goal
  • goal Marcos Fernández 20'
  • goal Tyrhys Dolan 41'
  • goal Javi Hernández 47'

Middlesbrough vs Espanyol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 1.00pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Huddersfield

Espanyol

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.45pm
Burnley 2 - 2 Espanyol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 47.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 25.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Espanyol 27.01% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.54% ▼ (-0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.22%
Under 1.5 22.78%
Over 2.5 54.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 32.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 67.86% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 19.13% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 80.87% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 36.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 43.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Espanyol 20.4% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 57.27% ▲ (+0.12)
No Goal 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Espanyol 36.17% ▼ (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 61.26% ▼ (-0.54)
Equal 8 10.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 28.35% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 9 50.39% ▼ (-0.58)
Equal 9 10.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 38.74% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 10.5 39.89% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 10.5 60.11% ▲ (+0.55)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 47.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.04% ▲ (+0.05)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5 63.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 30.73%
Under 1.5 69.27%
Over 2.5 11.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 88.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.55% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 47.97%
Draw 25.08%
Espanyol 27%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 47.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.08%
Espanyol
0-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27%