Championship
Wrexham
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Racecourse Ground
Watford
  • Nathan Broadhead 20' yellowcard
  • Danny Imray 22' goal
  • Ben Whiteman 72' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Kjerrumgaard 14'

Wrexham vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 8.00pm
Cardiff 1 - 1 Wrexham
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm
Watford 2 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Wrexham 41.79%
Draw 28.42%
Watford 29.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 49.77%
Under 2.5 50.23%
Over 3.5 28.09%
Under 3.5 71.91%
Over 4.5 15.47%
Under 4.5 84.53%

First Half Winner

Wrexham 26.59%
Draw 49.05%
Watford 24.36%

Team To Score First

Wrexham 51.93%
No Goal 8.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Watford 39.82% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.83%
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 31.66%
Over 9 45.19%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 43.17%
Over 10.5 34.38%
Under 10.5 65.62%

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 41.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.46%
Under 2.5 82.54%
Over 3.5 6.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 65.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 32.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.77%
Under 3.5 96.23%

Score analysis

Wrexham 41.79%
Draw 28.42%
Watford 29.8%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 41.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 28.42%
Watford
0-1 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 29.8%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 36
Watford
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Vicarage Road
Wrexham
  • Marc Bola 18' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 38' goal
  • Nampalys Mendy 71' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Doumbia 72' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Bove 83' yellowcard
  • Formose Mendy 83' yellowcard
  • Kévin Keben 90' yellowcard
  • Kévin Keben 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Bove 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Windass 46'
  • goal Max Cleworth 49'
  • yellowcard D. Keillor-Dunn 64'
  • yellowcard Issa Kaboré 64'
  • yellowcard Bailey Cadamarteri 75'
  • yellowcard Jay Rodríguez 88'
Championship
Wrexham
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Watford
  • Josh Windass 21' goal
  • Kieffer Moore 38' yellowcard
  • Josh Windass 45' yellowcard
  • Oliver Rathbone 90'+2' goal
  • Ben Sheaf 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Mamadou Doumbia 30'
  • goal Othmane Maamma 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Bola 45'
  • yellowcard Max Alleyne 58'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 81'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Doumbia 82'
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Javier Gracia 90'+3'
  • redcard Javier Gracia 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 90'+9'

Form Data

Cardiff 1 - 1 Wrexham
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Wrexham
Wrexham 1 - 0 Sunderland
Liverpool 1 - 0 Wrexham
Wrexham 0 - 0 Leeds
Man Utd 0 - 1 Wrexham
Watford 2 - 1 Southampton
Watford 1 - 0 Crawley
Watford 0 - 1 Fiorentina
Watford 3 - 0 Hansa Rostock
Barnet 2 - 2 Watford
Watford 1 - 2 Boreham Wood