Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 8.00pm
Cardiff 1 - 1 Wrexham

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm
Watford 2 - 1 Southampton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Watford has a probability of 29.76% and a draw has a probability of 28.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.46%).

Result

Wrexham 41.79%
Draw 28.38%
Watford 29.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.17% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 49.77%
Under 2.5 50.23%
Over 3.5 28.09%
Under 3.5 71.91%
Over 4.5 15.48%
Under 4.5 84.52%

First Half Winner

Wrexham 26.59%
Draw 49.05%
Watford 24.36%

Team To Score First

Wrexham 51.94%
No Goal 8.23%
Watford 39.83%

Corners

Over 8 56.83%
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 31.66%
Over 9 45.19%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 43.17%
Over 10.5 34.38%
Under 10.5 65.62%

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 41.45% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.55% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.48% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.52% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.12%
Under 3.5 93.88%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 65.49% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.51% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 32.13% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.88%
Under 2.5 88.12%
Over 3.5 3.77%
Under 3.5 96.23%

Score analysis

Wrexham 41.8%
Draw 28.39%
Watford 29.77%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-0 @ 3.43% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 5.8%
Total : 41.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 28.39%
Watford
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 29.77%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Marc Bola 18' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 38' goal
  • Nampalys Mendy 71' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Doumbia 72' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Bove 83' yellowcard
  • Formose Mendy 83' yellowcard
  • Kévin Keben 90' yellowcard
  • Kévin Keben 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Bove 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Windass 46'
  • goal Max Cleworth 49'
  • yellowcard D. Keillor-Dunn 64'
  • yellowcard Issa Kaboré 64'
  • yellowcard Bailey Cadamarteri 75'
  • yellowcard Jay Rodríguez 88'
Championship
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Josh Windass 21' goal
  • Kieffer Moore 38' yellowcard
  • Josh Windass 45' yellowcard
  • Oliver Rathbone 90'+2' goal
  • Ben Sheaf 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Mamadou Doumbia 30'
  • goal Othmane Maamma 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Bola 45'
  • yellowcard Max Alleyne 58'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 81'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Doumbia 82'
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Javier Gracia 90'+3'
  • redcard Javier Gracia 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 90'+9'