Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • yellowcard Ben House 30'
  • goal Ben House 66'
  • yellowcard Ivan Varfolomeev 79'
  • yellowcard Ivan Varfolomeev 79'
  • yellowcard Conor McGrandles 90'+3'

Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Lincoln City

All competitions
Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Lincoln 1 - 3 Portsmouth
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Adam Reach

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 47.59% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 25.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Lincoln City 26.7% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.54% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 68.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.97% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 37.31% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 43.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Lincoln City 19.37% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 55.51% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 6.28%
Lincoln City 38.21% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.9% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 33.54% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 43.39% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 45.1% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 32.84% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 67.16% ▲ (+0.15)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 47.48% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 52.52% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 22.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 77.96% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 8.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.65% ▼ (-0.04)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 64.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 35.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 30.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 69.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 89.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 47.59%
Draw 25.71%
Lincoln City 26.71%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 47.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.71%
Lincoln City
1-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.71%

Head to Head

League One
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Jack Moylan 25' goal
  • Tom Bayliss 78' yellowcard
  • Ben House 78' yellowcard
  • Ryley Towler 79' yellowcard
  • Ryan Oné 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Cissoko 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 61'
  • yellowcard Johnny Kenny 65'
  • yellowcard Rúben Rodrigues 79'
  • goal S. Dalby 82'
League One
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT LNER Stadium
  • Erik Ring 10' goal
  • James Collins 18' goal
  • James Collins 53' goal
  • Reeco Hackett 61' goal
  • Tom Hamer 64' yellowcard
  • Ben House 73' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Matete 29'
  • yellowcard Gethin Jones 36'
  • goal Alex Murphy 38'
  • yellowcard Josh Cogley 90'
  • redcard Josh Cogley 90'+2'
EFL Trophy
Jan 14, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Ethan Erhahon 82' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Collins 22'
  • yellowcard Josh Cogley 35'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 51'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 56'
  • yellowcard Szabolcs Schon 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Aaron Collins 37' goal
  • Jay Matete 50' goal
  • Jay Matete 66' goal
  • yellowcard Conor McGrandles 18'
  • yellowcard Ben House 23'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 44'
  • yellowcard Ethan Erhahon 45'+1'
  • redcard Ethan Erhahon 45'+3'
League One Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Jovon Makama 35' yellowcard
  • Teddy Bishop 53' yellowcard
  • Daniel Mandroiu 71' redcard
  • TJ Eyoma 88' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Toal 89'
  • yellowcard Kyle Dempsey 90'+2'