Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Lincoln City

All competitions
Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Lincoln 1 - 3 Portsmouth
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Adam Reach

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 26.73% and a draw has a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).

Result

Bolton Wanderers 47.5% (+0.86)
Draw 25.74% (+0.07)
Lincoln City 26.73% (-0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.38% (+1.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.44% (+1.54)
Under 1.5 22.56% (-1.55)
Over 2.5 53.57% (+1.76)
Under 2.5 46.43% (-1.76)
Over 3.5 30.91% (+1.04)
Under 3.5 69.09% (-1.04)
Over 4.5 17.87% (+0.68)
Under 4.5 82.13% (-0.68)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 37.16% (-1.11)
Draw 43.39% (+1.18)
Lincoln City 19.45% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 55.47% (-0.74)
No Goal 6.32% (-0.54)
Lincoln City 38.21% (+1.28)

Corners

Over 8 55.09% (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 33.38% (-0.36)
Over 9 43.59% (+0.34)
Equal 9 11.5% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.91% (-0.36)
Over 10.5 33.03% (+0.28)
Under 10.5 66.97% (-0.27)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 47.31% (+1.90)
Under 1.5 52.69% (-1.90)
Over 2.5 21.9% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 78.1% (-1.20)
Over 3.5 8.28% (+0.53)
Under 3.5 91.72% (-0.54)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 64.03% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 35.97% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 30.47% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 69.53% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 10.8% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 89.2% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.25% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 96.75% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 47.5%
Draw 25.74%
Lincoln City 26.73%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.32)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.46)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.78% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 4.33% (+0.33)
3-2 @ 3.23% (+0.09)
Other @ 8.06% (+0.48)
Total : 47.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.54)
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.28% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.06)
Total : 25.74%
Lincoln City
1-2 @ 6.76% (+0.21)
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.54)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.35)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.05% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.03% (-0.19)
Total : 26.73%

Head to Head

League One
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Jack Moylan 25' goal
  • Tom Bayliss 78' yellowcard
  • Ben House 78' yellowcard
  • Ryley Towler 79' yellowcard
  • Ryan Oné 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Cissoko 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 61'
  • yellowcard Johnny Kenny 65'
  • yellowcard Rúben Rodrigues 79'
  • goal S. Dalby 82'
League One
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT LNER Stadium
  • Erik Ring 10' goal
  • James Collins 18' goal
  • James Collins 53' goal
  • Reeco Hackett 61' goal
  • Tom Hamer 64' yellowcard
  • Ben House 73' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Matete 29'
  • yellowcard Gethin Jones 36'
  • goal Alex Murphy 38'
  • yellowcard Josh Cogley 90'
  • redcard Josh Cogley 90'+2'
EFL Trophy
Jan 14, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Ethan Erhahon 82' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Collins 22'
  • yellowcard Josh Cogley 35'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 51'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 56'
  • yellowcard Szabolcs Schon 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Aaron Collins 37' goal
  • Jay Matete 50' goal
  • Jay Matete 66' goal
  • yellowcard Conor McGrandles 18'
  • yellowcard Ben House 23'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 44'
  • yellowcard Ethan Erhahon 45'+1'
  • redcard Ethan Erhahon 45'+3'
League One Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Jovon Makama 35' yellowcard
  • Teddy Bishop 53' yellowcard
  • Daniel Mandroiu 71' redcard
  • TJ Eyoma 88' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Toal 89'
  • yellowcard Kyle Dempsey 90'+2'