Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 3.30pm
Hull City 1 - 0 Middlesbrough

Lincoln City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 35.02% and a draw has a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 0-1 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.42%).

Result

Middlesbrough 38.58%
Draw 26.37%
Lincoln City 35.02% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.78% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.46% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.54% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 49.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.1% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.04% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 71.96% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.56%
Under 4.5 84.44%

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 35.17%
Draw 43.09%
Lincoln City 21.75%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 54.27%
No Goal 7.2% (-0.01)
Lincoln City 38.53% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.95%
Equal 8 10.53%
Under 8 23.52%
Over 9 54.48%
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 34.05%
Over 10.5 43.06%
Under 10.5 56.94%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 38.11%
Under 1.5 61.89%
Over 2.5 15.89%
Under 2.5 84.11%
Over 3.5 5.45%
Under 3.5 94.55%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 68.78% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 31.22% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 35.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.61% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.83% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.39%
Under 3.5 95.61%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 38.57%
Draw 26.37%
Lincoln City 35.02%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 38.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 26.37%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 35.02%