Championship
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Will Lankshear 62' goal
  • Will Lankshear 90'+1' goal
  • goal Adam Reach 12'
  • yellowcard Freddie Draper 36'
  • yellowcard Tanto Olaofe 89'

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 3.30pm
Hull City 1 - 0 Middlesbrough

Lincoln City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 38.61% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 26.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Lincoln City 35.02% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.71%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 25.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.83%
Under 2.5 50.17%
Over 3.5 28.01%
Under 3.5 71.99%
Over 4.5 15.55%
Under 4.5 84.45%

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 35.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 43.09%
Lincoln City 21.75%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 54.26%
No Goal 7.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Lincoln City 38.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.95%
Equal 8 10.53%
Under 8 23.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 54.48%
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 34.05%
Over 10.5 43.06%
Under 10.5 56.94%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 38.1% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 61.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 15.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 68.76%
Under 0.5 31.24%
Over 1.5 35.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 38.6%
Draw 26.4%
Lincoln City 35.01%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 38.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 26.4%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 35.01%