Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 1 - 1 Sunderland
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Keane Lewis-Potter

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Brentford has a probability of 30.75% and a draw has a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brentford win is 0-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.93%).

Result

Bournemouth 41.96% (+0.47)
Draw 27.29% (-0.20)
Brentford 30.75% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.65% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.82% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 28.18% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 48.06% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 51.94% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 27.06% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 72.94% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 15.13% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 84.87% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 36.16% (-0.03)
Draw 38.37% (-0.18)
Brentford 25.48% (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 47.5% (-0.55)
No Goal 8.84% (-0.10)
Brentford 43.66% (+0.65)

Corners

Over 8 71.33% (+0.82)
Equal 8 9.73% (-0.05)
Under 8 18.94% (-0.77)
Over 9 60.19% (+0.75)
Equal 9 11.13% (+0.06)
Under 9 28.67% (-0.81)
Over 10.5 48.6% (+0.64)
Under 10.5 51.4% (-0.64)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 39.52% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 60.48% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 16.51% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 83.49% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.45% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.55% (-0.07)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 64.21% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 35.79% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 31.43% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 68.57% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.1% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.9% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.09% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.91% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 41.95%
Draw 27.28%
Brentford 30.75%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 10.94% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.17% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.49% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.33% (+0.09)
Total : 41.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.03)
Total : 27.28%
Brentford
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.97% (+0.04)
Total : 30.75%

Head to Head

Premier League
Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Amine Adli 74' yellowcard
  • Eli Kroupi 74' yellowcard
  • Enes Ünal 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Ajer 21'
  • yellowcard Yegor Yarmolyuk 62'
  • yellowcard Keane Lewis-Potter 87'
Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kevin Schade 7' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 39' goal
  • Kevin Schade 51' goal
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Mathias Jensen 75' yellowcard
  • Michael Kayode 82' yellowcard
  • Kevin Schade 90'+6' goal
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 75'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 82'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 90'+1'
EFL Cup
Aug 26, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Vitaly Janelt 17' goal
  • Marcus Tavernier 68' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 75' yellowcard
  • James Hill 89' yellowcard
  • goal Yoane Wissa 30'
  • goal Christian Norgaard 71'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Yoane Wissa 27' goal
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 50' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 58' goal
  • Kevin Schade 88' yellowcard
  • Fabio Carvalho 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Evanilson 17'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 33'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 49'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 68'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 81'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 89'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Andoni Iraola 35' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dango Ouattara 56' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mathias Jensen 85'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 86'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 90'+8'