Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Justin Kluivert 38' goal
  • Marcus Tavernier 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Marcus Tavernier 52' goal
  • James Hill 63' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cook 85' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith  87' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Schade 34'
  • yellowcard Igor Thiago 45'+3'
  • goal Kevin Schade 56'

Bournemouth vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 1 - 1 Sunderland
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Kevin Schade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.04% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Bournemouth 46.77%
Draw 27.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Brentford 26.18% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.91% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.59% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 27.41% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 49.08% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 50.92% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 28.69% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 71.31% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 83.39% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 38.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 39.47% ▲ (+0.09)
Brentford 21.79% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 52.97% ▼ (-0.13)
No Goal 8.56% ▲ (+0.06)
Brentford 38.47% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 69.15% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 9.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 21.18% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 58.35% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 9 10.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 30.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 47.3% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 52.7% ▼ (-0.08)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 44.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 79.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 60.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 39.22% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 28.04% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 71.96% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 9.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 46.78%
Draw 27.04%
Brentford 26.18%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 46.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.04%
Brentford
0-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.18%

Head to Head

Premier League
Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Amine Adli 74' yellowcard
  • Eli Kroupi 74' yellowcard
  • Enes Ünal 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Ajer 21'
  • yellowcard Yegor Yarmolyuk 62'
  • yellowcard Keane Lewis-Potter 87'
Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kevin Schade 7' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 39' goal
  • Kevin Schade 51' goal
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Mathias Jensen 75' yellowcard
  • Michael Kayode 82' yellowcard
  • Kevin Schade 90'+6' goal
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 75'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 82'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 90'+1'
EFL Cup
Aug 26, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Vitaly Janelt 17' goal
  • Marcus Tavernier 68' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 75' yellowcard
  • James Hill 89' yellowcard
  • goal Yoane Wissa 30'
  • goal Christian Norgaard 71'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Yoane Wissa 27' goal
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 50' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 58' goal
  • Kevin Schade 88' yellowcard
  • Fabio Carvalho 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Evanilson 17'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 33'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 49'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 68'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 81'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 89'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Andoni Iraola 35' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dango Ouattara 56' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mathias Jensen 85'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 86'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 90'+8'