Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw has a probability of 26.97% and a win for Sunderland has a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.33%) , while for a Sunderland win it is 0-1 (8.27%).

Result

Bournemouth 46.86% ▼ (-0.57)
Draw 26.97% ▲ (+0.19)
Sunderland 26.17% ▲ (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.47% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.71% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 28.29% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 47.49% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 52.51% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 25.82% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 74.18% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 14.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.53% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 36.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 42.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Sunderland 21.4% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 51.58% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 8.65% ▲ (+0.17)
Sunderland 39.77% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.54% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 28.35% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 48.96% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 9 11.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 39.46% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 37.91% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 10.5 62.09% ▲ (+0.23)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 43.13% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 56.87% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 2.5 19.18% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 80.82% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 6.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.13% ▲ (+0.10)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 61.12% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 38.88% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 8.71% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 91.29% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 2.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 46.87%
Draw 26.97%
Sunderland 26.18%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 46.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.97%
Sunderland
0-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.18%

Head to Head

Premier League
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Evanilson 46' yellowcard
  • Ryan Christie 62' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 63' goal
  • Amine Adli 81' yellowcard
  • Enes Ünal 81' yellowcard
  • Alex Tóth 85' yellowcard
  • goal Eliezer Mayenda 18'
  • yellowcard Bertrand Traoré 69'
  • yellowcard Nilson Angulo 76'
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 90'+6'
Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Omar Alderete 21' yellowcard
  • Enzo Le Fee 30' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 46' goal
  • Trai Hume 65' yellowcard
  • Brian Brobbey 69' goal
  • Robin Roefs 90' yellowcard
  • Robin Roefs 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Romaine Mundle 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Amine Adli 7'
  • goal Tyler Adams 15'
  • yellowcard Alex Scott 25'
  • yellowcard Andoni Iraola 75'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 86'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 90'+3'
  • redcard Lewis Cook 90'+6'
  • redcard 90'+6'
  • redcard 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 90'+12'
  • yellowcard 90'+12'
Premier League
Apr 29, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steven Pienaar 46' yellowcard
  • Fabio Borini 76' yellowcard
  • Wahbi Khazri 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 33'
  • yellowcard Harry Arter 76'
  • goal Joshua King 88'
Premier League
Nov 5, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Harry Arter 3' yellowcard
  • Dan Gosling 11' goal
  • Joshua King 30' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 73' yellowcard
  • goal Victor Anichebe 33'
  • yellowcard Steven Pienaar 43'
  • redcard Steven Pienaar 59'
  • yellowcard Victor Anichebe 70'
  • goal Jermain Defoe 74'
  • yellowcard Lynden Gooch 95'
Premier League
Jan 23, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrick van Aanholt 45' goal
  • Billy Jones 89' yellowcard
  • goal Benik Afobe 13'
  • yellowcard Andrew Surman 18'
Premier League
Sep 19, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Callum Wilson 4' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 9' goal
  • Dan Gosling 80' yellowcard
  • Glenn Murray 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 14'
  • yellowcard Billy Jones 24'
  • yellowcard Younes Kaboul 43'
  • yellowcard Fabio Borini 63'
  • redcard Younes Kaboul 74'
  • yellowcard Ola Toivonen 85'