Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Stadium of Light

Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 32.84% and a draw has a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 2-1 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result

Sunderland 32.84%
Draw 23.75%
AZ Alkmaar 43.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.3%
Under 1.5 21.7%
Over 2.5 56.04%
Under 2.5 43.96%
Over 3.5 33.52%
Under 3.5 66.48%
Over 4.5 19.93%
Under 4.5 80.07%

First Half Winner

Sunderland 20.86%
Draw 40.07%
AZ Alkmaar 39.08%

Team To Score First

Sunderland 38.85%
No Goal 5.83%
AZ Alkmaar 55.32%

Corners

Over 8 61.64%
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 26.87%
Over 9 49.53%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 38.36%
Over 10.5 37.9%
Under 10.5 62.1%

Sunderland Goals

Over 1.5 35.89%
Under 1.5 64.11%
Over 2.5 15.18%
Under 2.5 84.82%
Over 3.5 5.26%
Under 3.5 94.74%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 74.89%
Under 0.5 25.11%
Over 1.5 44.29%
Under 1.5 55.71%
Over 2.5 20.73%
Under 2.5 79.27%
Over 3.5 8.1%
Under 3.5 91.9%

Score analysis

Sunderland 32.83%
Draw 23.75%
AZ Alkmaar 43.4%
Sunderland
2-1 @ 7.62%
1-0 @ 7%
2-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 32.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.75%
AZ Alkmaar
0-1 @ 8.85%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 4.63%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.89%
Other @ 7.86%
Total : 43.4%