Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 3.30pm
Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.00pm
Sittard 3 - 1 Cambuur

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 5.45pm
Utrecht 1 - 4 AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 31.78% and a draw has a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win is 2-1 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.75%).

Result

Fortuna Sittard 31.78% (-0.06)
Draw 22.79% (+0.04)
AZ Alkmaar 45.42% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.55% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.52% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 16.48% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 63.74% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 36.26% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 41.93% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 58.07% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 26.64% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 73.36% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Fortuna Sittard 24.64% (+0.07)
Draw 37.91% (-0.02)
AZ Alkmaar 37.45% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Fortuna Sittard 43.16% (+0.07)
No Goal 4.22% (+0.02)
AZ Alkmaar 52.62% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 61.48% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.85% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.66% (+0.04)
Over 9 50.13% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.36% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.52% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 39.2% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 60.8% (+0.02)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 1.5 38.78% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.22% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 17.18% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.82% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.97% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.03% (+0.02)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 78.32%
Under 0.5 21.68%
Over 1.5 51.1%
Under 1.5 48.9%
Over 2.5 26.58% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 73.42% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.78% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.22% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fortuna Sittard 31.79%
Draw 22.8%
AZ Alkmaar 45.42%
Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.61% (-0.02)
Total : 31.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.22% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.02)
Total : 22.8%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-1 @ 6.57% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.85%
Other @ 11.42% (-0.03)
Total : 45.42%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Mexx Meerdink 11' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 15' goal
  • Troy Parrott 71' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 72' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 77' yellowcard
  • Mees de Wit 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Seiya Maikuma 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Syb van Ottele 46'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 46'
  • yellowcard Luka Tunjic 75'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Limnios 76'
  • yellowcard Luka Tunjic 76'
  • yellowcard Samuel Bastien 77'
  • yellowcard Luka Tunjic 77'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Owen Johnson 84'
  • yellowcard Owen Johnson 85'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Dec 21, 2025 3.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Justin Lonwijk 9' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 37' yellowcard
  • Philip Brittijn 40' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 42' goal
  • Shawn Adewoye 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 54' goal
  • Philip Brittijn 86' goal
  • goal Troy Parrott 19'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 21'
  • goal Mees de Wit 71'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Ernest Poku 46' yellowcard
  • Zico Buurmeester 52' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Da Cruz 77'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Bullaude 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Alen Halilovic 20' yellowcard
  • Makan Aiko 29' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Guth 78' goal
  • Ante Erceg 83' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Bullaude 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxim Dekker 45'
  • yellowcard Ruben van Bommel 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Inigo Cordoba 18' goal
  • Justin Lonwijk 41' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 63'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 69'
  • goal Dani de Wit 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Dani de Wit 28' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 45'+1' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 49' goal
  • Dimitris Siovas 82' goal
  • Tiago Dantas 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kaj Sierhuis 24'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Siovas 35'
  • yellowcard Deroy Duarte 90'+2'