Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 1.00pm
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 4.30pm
Metz 4 - 1 Sochaux

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 5.30pm
Sittard 1 - 3 Olympiacos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metz win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw has a probability of 22.09% and a win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it is 1-2 (5.4%).

Result

Metz 59.68% (-0.03)
Draw 22.09% (+0.04)
Fortuna Sittard 18.28% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.2% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.99% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.01% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 61.06% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 38.94% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.72% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 62.28% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 23.98% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 76.02% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Metz 43.17% (+0.03)
Draw 37.69% (-0.02)
Fortuna Sittard 19.15%

Team To Score First

Metz 64.52%
No Goal 4.71% (+0.01)
Fortuna Sittard 30.77% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.04%
Equal 8 10.36%
Under 8 22.6% (-0.01)
Over 9 55.66% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 32.96% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 44.23% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 55.77% (-0.01)

Metz Goals

Over 1.5 59.74% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 40.26% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 32.79% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 67.21% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 15.15% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 84.85% (+0.04)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 56.57% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 43.43% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 24.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.05% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.89%
Under 2.5 92.11%
Over 3.5 2.26% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.74% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Metz 59.68%
Draw 22.1%
Fortuna Sittard 18.28%
Metz
2-1 @ 10.77% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4%
3-0 @ 6.21% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.03)
Other @ 14.91% (-0.03)
Total : 59.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.1%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 5.4% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.35%
0-2 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.02% (-0.01)
Total : 18.28%