Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Gauthier Hein 8' goal
  • 43' yellowcard
  • Pape Moussa Fall 50' goal
  • Gauthier Hein 75' goal
  • goal Justin Hubner 45'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Justin Hubner 58'
  • yellowcard 58'

Metz vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 4.30pm
Metz 4 - 1 Sochaux

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 5.30pm
Sittard 1 - 3 Olympiacos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.29% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Metz 59.29% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 22.29% ▲ (+0.20)
Fortuna Sittard 18.42% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 61.21% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 38.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 37.77% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 62.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 23.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 76.05% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Metz 42.33% ▼ (-0.85)
Draw 38.18% ▲ (+0.50)
Fortuna Sittard 19.49% ▲ (+0.34)

Team To Score First

Metz 63.15% ▼ (-1.37)
No Goal 4.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Fortuna Sittard 32.07% ▲ (+1.31)

Corners

Over 8 68.48% ▲ (+1.44)
Equal 8 10.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 8 21.26% ▼ (-1.34)
Over 9 57.05% ▲ (+1.40)
Equal 9 11.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 31.52% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 10.5 45.44% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 10.5 54.56% ▼ (-1.22)

Metz Goals

Over 1.5 59.59% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 40.41% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 32.79%
Under 2.5 67.21%
Over 3.5 15.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 84.79% ▼ (-0.06)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 56.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 43.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.1% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 74.9% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 8.06% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 91.94% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Metz 59.28%
Draw 22.3%
Fortuna Sittard 18.41%
Metz
2-1 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.4%
3-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 14.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 59.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 22.3%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.35%
0-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 18.41%