Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (6.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.