Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.28%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 20.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 3-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (5.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.