Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.