Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 25, 2026 5.45pm
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 3.45pm
AZ 3 - 0 Heerenveen
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 11.15am
Sittard 1 - 1 NAC Breda
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw has a probability of 19.52% and a win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.48%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it is 1-2 (5.3%).

Result

Heerenveen 61.24%
Draw 19.52%
Fortuna Sittard 19.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.69%
Under 1.5 14.31%
Over 2.5 67.42%
Under 2.5 32.58%
Over 3.5 45.42%
Under 3.5 54.58%
Over 4.5 30.93%
Under 4.5 69.07%

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 51.06%
Draw 32.93%
Fortuna Sittard 16.01%

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 68.01%
No Goal 3.48%
Fortuna Sittard 28.51%

Corners

Over 8 69.32%
Equal 8 10.06%
Under 8 20.62%
Over 9 58.04%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 30.68%
Over 10.5 46.5%
Under 10.5 53.5%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 63.78%
Under 1.5 36.22%
Over 2.5 39.61%
Under 2.5 60.39%
Over 3.5 20.75%
Under 3.5 79.25%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 55.27%
Under 0.5 44.73%
Over 1.5 26.85%
Under 1.5 73.15%
Over 2.5 9.74%
Under 2.5 90.26%
Over 3.5 3.01%
Under 3.5 96.99%

Score analysis

Heerenveen 61.25%
Draw 19.52%
Fortuna Sittard 19.27%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 7.41%
1-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 6.97%
3-0 @ 6.41%
3-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 20.42%
Total : 61.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 5.59%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.52%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 5.3%
0-1 @ 3.82%
0-2 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 19.27%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Levi Smans 8' goal
  • Levi Smans 8' goal
  • Eser Gurbuz 82' goal
  • Eser Gurbuz 82' goal
  • goal Kristoffer Peterson 15'
  • goal Kristoffer Peterson 15'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 38'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 38'
  • yellowcard Ivo Pinto 42'
  • yellowcard Ivo Pinto 42'
  • yellowcard Luuk Koopmans 79'
  • yellowcard Luuk Koopmans 79'
  • goal Rodrigo Guth 90'
  • goal Rodrigo Guth 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Loreintz Rosier 10' goal
  • Kristoffer Peterson 67' goal
  • Loreintz Rosier 73' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 5.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Ivo Pinto 55' yellowcard
  • Alen Halilovic 60' goal
  • Rodrigo Guth 63' goal
  • Alen Halilovic 80' goal
  • yellowcard Simon Olsson 14'
  • goal Osame Sahraoui 19'
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 24'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 55'
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 13' yellowcard
  • Thom Haye 45'+4' goal
  • Thom Haye 62' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 88' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 31'
  • yellowcard Inigo Cordoba 45'
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 25, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Umaro Embalo 58' goal
  • Burak Yilmaz 90'+8' goal