Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.44% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 3-1 (7.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.