Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.73% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.