Eredivisie Gameweek 34
AZ
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Sven Mijnans 8' goal
  • Mateo Chávez 12' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 37' yellowcard
  • Weslley Patati 57' yellowcard
  • Denso Kasius 57' yellowcard
  • Kasper Boogaard 70' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 70' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 71' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jayden Candelaria 54'
  • yellowcard Juho Talvitie 55'
  • yellowcard Charles-Andreas Brym 55'
  • yellowcard Jayden Candelaria 55'
  • goal Moussa Soumano 61'
  • yellowcard André Ayew 68'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 68'
  • goal Moussa Soumano 71'
  • goal Juho Talvitie 89'

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 3.45pm
Feyenoord 1 - 1 AZ
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 1.30pm
NAC Breda 2 - 0 Heerenveen
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mohamed Nassoh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.08% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 60.64% ▲ (+2.00)
Draw 22.08% ▼ (-0.84)
NAC Breda 17.27% ▼ (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.47% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 25.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.56% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 47.44% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.18% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 3.5 66.82% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 4.5 21.46% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 4.5 78.54% ▼ (-0.95)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 43.32% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 39.02% ▲ (+0.18)
NAC Breda 17.66% ▼ (-0.74)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 56.81% ▼ (-0.79)
No Goal 7.58% ▼ (-0.08)
NAC Breda 35.61% ▲ (+0.86)

Corners

Over 8 67.28% ▼ (-0.57)
Equal 8 9.88% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 8 22.84% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 9 56.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.84% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 9 32.73% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 10.5 45.49% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 10.5 54.51% ▼ (-0.52)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 55.51% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 1.5 44.49% ▼ (-1.41)
Over 2.5 29.68% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 2.5 70.32% ▼ (-1.48)
Over 3.5 13.42% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 3.5 86.58% ▼ (-0.97)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 48.25% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 0.5 51.75% ▲ (+1.48)
Over 1.5 21.35% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 1.5 78.65% ▲ (+1.38)
Over 2.5 8.23% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 91.77% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 3.5 2.47% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 97.53% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 60.63%
Draw 22.08%
NAC Breda 17.27%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 12.81% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.53)
2-1 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.33)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 13% ▲ (+0.98)
Total : 60.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.31)
0-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.08%
NAC Breda
0-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.54)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 17.27%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 4
NAC Breda
Aug 31, 2025 3.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
AZ
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 41' redcard
  • yellowcard Mees de Wit 35'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sadiq 55'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Penetra 69'
  • yellowcard Kees Smit 83'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 89'
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
AZ
Apr 24, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Mexx Meerdink 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Boy Kemper 68'
  • goal Leo Sauer 75'
  • yellowcard Dominik Janosek 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bielica 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
NAC Breda
Dec 15, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
AZ
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 12' goal
  • Leo Greiml 30' yellowcard
  • Max Balard 62' yellowcard
  • Leo Greiml 85' redcard
  • Boy Kemper 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jan Van den Bergh 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Peer Koopmeiners 71'
  • goal Troy Parrott 76'
  • yellowcard Maarten Martens 88'
  • goal Mees de Wit 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Mees de Wit 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Ruben van Bommel 90'+7'
KNVB Beker
AZ
Feb 12, 2020 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT AFAS Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Oussama Idrissi 56' yellowcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 65' goal
  • goal Mounir El Allouchi 35'
  • goal Robin Schouten 60'
  • goal Javi Noblejas 86'
  • yellowcard Arno Verschueren 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
NAC Breda
Feb 8, 2019 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
AZ
  • Karol Mets 22' yellowcard
  • Pele van Anholt 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guus Til 25'
  • goal Guus Til 33'
  • goal Guus Til 54'
  • goal Albert Gudmundsson 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
AZ
Aug 12, 2018 3.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)
NAC Breda
  • Jonas Svensson 26' goal
  • Pantelis Hatzidiakos 30' goal
  • Myron Boadu 42' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 79' goal
  • Bjorn Johnsen 85' goal
  • yellowcard Mounir El Allouchi 58'
  • yellowcard Fabian Sporkslede 66'

Form Data

Feyenoord 1 - 1 AZ
AZ 2 - 2 FC Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 AZ
AZ 5 - 1 Nijmegen
AZ 2 - 2 Shakhtar
AZ 3 - 0 Heerenveen
NAC Breda 2 - 0 Heerenveen
Utrecht 2 - 0 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 2 Ajax
Sittard 1 - 1 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 0 Sparta
PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 NAC Breda