Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 3.45pm
Feyenoord 1 - 1 AZ
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 1.30pm
NAC Breda 2 - 0 Heerenveen
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw has a probability of 22.91% and a win for NAC Breda has a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.9%) , while for a NAC Breda win it is 0-1 (4.69%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 58.64%
Draw 22.91%
NAC Breda 18.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.88% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 25.12% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 52.71% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.29% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.25%
Under 3.5 67.75%
Over 4.5 20.5% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.5% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 42.75%
Draw 38.85%
NAC Breda 18.4%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 57.58%
No Goal 7.67% (-0.01)
NAC Breda 34.75% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.84%
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 21.9%
Over 9 56.47%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 32.16%
Over 10.5 44.98%
Under 10.5 55.02%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 54.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 45.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 28.21% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 71.79% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.45%
Under 3.5 87.55%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 49.7%
Under 0.5 50.3%
Over 1.5 22.71% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.29% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.92% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.61%
Under 3.5 97.39%

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 58.63%
Draw 22.91%
NAC Breda 18.47%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.26% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21%
3-0 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 12.02%
Total : 58.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.9%
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.91%
NAC Breda
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-2 @ 2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.47%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 31, 2025 3.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 24, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Mexx Meerdink 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Boy Kemper 68'
  • goal Leo Sauer 75'
  • yellowcard Dominik Janosek 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bielica 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 12' goal
  • Leo Greiml 30' yellowcard
  • Max Balard 62' yellowcard
  • Leo Greiml 85' redcard
  • Boy Kemper 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jan Van den Bergh 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Peer Koopmeiners 71'
  • goal Troy Parrott 76'
  • yellowcard Maarten Martens 88'
  • goal Mees de Wit 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Mees de Wit 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Ruben van Bommel 90'+7'
KNVB Beker
Feb 12, 2020 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Oussama Idrissi 56' yellowcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 65' goal
  • goal Mounir El Allouchi 35'
  • goal Robin Schouten 60'
  • goal Javi Noblejas 86'
  • yellowcard Arno Verschueren 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2019 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
  • Karol Mets 22' yellowcard
  • Pele van Anholt 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guus Til 25'
  • goal Guus Til 33'
  • goal Guus Til 54'
  • goal Albert Gudmundsson 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2018 3.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)
  • Jonas Svensson 26' goal
  • Pantelis Hatzidiakos 30' goal
  • Myron Boadu 42' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 79' goal
  • Bjorn Johnsen 85' goal
  • yellowcard Mounir El Allouchi 58'
  • yellowcard Fabian Sporkslede 66'