/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnaclog.png)
-
Sven Mijnans
8'
-
Mateo Chávez
12'
-
Mexx Meerdink
37'
-
Weslley Patati
57'
-
Denso Kasius
57'
-
Kasper Boogaard
70'
-
Ayoub Oufkir
70'
-
Ayoub Oufkir
71'
-
Mexx Meerdink
90'
-
Jayden Candelaria
54'
-
Juho Talvitie
55'
-
Charles-Andreas Brym
55'
-
Jayden Candelaria
55'
-
Moussa Soumano
61'
-
André Ayew
68'
-
Lewis Holtby
68'
-
Moussa Soumano
71'
-
Juho Talvitie
89'
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.08% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
60.64%
▲
(+2.00)
Draw
22.08%
▼
(-0.84)
NAC Breda
17.27%
▼
(-1.20)
Both Teams to Score:
46.47%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
25.09%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
52.56%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
47.44%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
33.18%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 3.5
66.82%
▼
(-0.91)
Over 4.5
21.46%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 4.5
78.54%
▼
(-0.95)
First Half Winner
AZ Alkmaar
43.32%
▲
(+0.58)
Draw
39.02%
▲
(+0.18)
NAC Breda
17.66%
▼
(-0.74)
Team To Score First
AZ Alkmaar
56.81%
▼
(-0.79)
No Goal
7.58%
▼
(-0.08)
NAC Breda
35.61%
▲
(+0.86)
Corners
Over 8
67.28%
▼
(-0.57)
Equal 8
9.88%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 8
22.84%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 9
56.43%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
10.84%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 9
32.73%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 10.5
45.49%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 10.5
54.51%
▼
(-0.52)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 1.5
55.51%
▲
(+1.41)
Under 1.5
44.49%
▼
(-1.41)
Over 2.5
29.68%
▲
(+1.47)
Under 2.5
70.32%
▼
(-1.48)
Over 3.5
13.42%
▲
(+0.96)
Under 3.5
86.58%
▼
(-0.97)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5
48.25%
▼
(-1.48)
Under 0.5
51.75%
▲
(+1.48)
Over 1.5
21.35%
▼
(-1.37)
Under 1.5
78.65%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 2.5
8.23%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 2.5
91.77%
▲
(+0.68)
Over 3.5
2.47%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
97.53%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
60.63%
Draw
22.08%
NAC Breda
17.27%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0
@
12.81%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.53)
2-1 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.33)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 13% ▲ (+0.98)
Total : 60.63%
2-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.53)
2-1 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.33)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 13% ▲ (+0.98)
Total : 60.63%
Draw
1-1
@
8.61%
▼
(-0.31)
0-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.08%
0-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.08%
NAC Breda
0-1
@
4.68%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.54)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 17.27%
1-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.54)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 17.27%
Head to Head
-
Elias Mar Omarsson
12'
-
Leo Greiml
30'
-
Max Balard
62'
-
Leo Greiml
85'
-
Boy Kemper
90'+4'
-
Jan Van den Bergh
90'+4'
-
Peer Koopmeiners
71'
-
Troy Parrott
76'
-
Maarten Martens
88'
-
Mees de Wit
90'+2'
-
Mees de Wit
90'+5'
-
Ruben van Bommel
90'+7'