Eredivisie Gameweek 33
NAC Breda
May 11, 2026 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Boy Kemper 36' goal
  • Boy Kemper 74' yellowcard
  • Brahim Ghalidi 78' yellowcard
  • Pepijn Reulen 78' yellowcard
  • Jayden Candelaria 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lasse Nordås 62'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 62'
  • yellowcard Eser Gürbüz 81'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 81'

NAC Breda vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Utrecht 2 - 0 NAC Breda
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 11.15am
Volendam 0 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

NAC Breda 39.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.93%
Heerenveen 36.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.39%
Under 2.5 41.61%
Over 3.5 36.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.85% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

NAC Breda 34.82%
Draw 36.14%
Heerenveen 29.04%

Team To Score First

NAC Breda 53.64% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Heerenveen 41.26%

Corners

Over 8 68.86%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 20.95%
Over 9 57.45%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 31.14%
Over 10.5 45.83%
Under 10.5 54.17%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 1.5 43.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 71.88%
Under 0.5 28.12%
Over 1.5 40.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

NAC Breda 39.47%
Draw 23.93%
Heerenveen 36.58%
NAC Breda
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 39.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.93%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.58%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Heerenveen
Oct 24, 2025 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
NAC Breda
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
NAC Breda
Jan 12, 2025 3.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 19' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 75' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 1'
  • goal Jacob Trenskow 7'
  • goal Alireza Jahanbakhsh 13'
  • goal Nikolai Soyset Hopland 28'
  • yellowcard Levi Smans 90'
  • yellowcard Amara Conde 90'+3'
  • goal Ilias Sebaoui 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Heerenveen
Aug 31, 2024 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Simon Olsson 47' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 50' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 70' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 84' goal
  • yellowcard Max Balard 48'
KNVB Beker
NAC Breda
Feb 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Tom Boere 16' goal
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 45'+1'
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 53'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
Heerenveen
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)
NAC Breda
  • Sam Lammers 69' goal
  • Mitchell van Bergen 90' goal
  • goal Menno Koch 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
NAC Breda
Dec 22, 2018 6.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
Heerenveen
  • Mitchell te Vrede 6' goal
  • Giovanni Korte 45' yellowcard
  • Mitchell te Vrede 58' goal
  • Gregory Leigh 60' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Rosheuvel 69' goal
  • Mikhail Rosheuvel 76' goal
  • goal Ben Rienstra 11'
  • redcard Ben Rienstra 14'
  • goal Mitchell van Bergen 27'
  • yellowcard Pelle van Amersfoort 36'
  • redcard Yuki Kobayashi 45'
  • yellowcard Warner Hahn 70'

Form Data

Utrecht 2 - 0 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 2 Ajax
Sittard 1 - 1 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 0 Sparta
PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 NAC Breda
Go Ahead Eagles 6 - 0 NAC Breda
Volendam 0 - 2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 2 - 1 Sittard
AZ 3 - 0 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 4 - 1 Heracles
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Telstar