Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 3.45pm
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Utrecht 2 - 0 NAC Breda
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 11.15am
Volendam 0 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NAC Breda win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Heerenveen has a probability of 36.61% and a draw has a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Heerenveen win is 1-2 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).

Result

NAC Breda 39.46% (+0.01)
Draw 23.92% (-0.02)
Heerenveen 36.61% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.17% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.83% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 58.39%
Under 2.5 41.61%
Over 3.5 36.14% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 63.86% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 21.16% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 78.84% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

NAC Breda 34.84% (+0.03)
Draw 36.14%
Heerenveen 29.03% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

NAC Breda 53.59% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.1% (-0.02)
Heerenveen 41.31% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 68.86%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 20.95%
Over 9 57.45%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 31.14%
Over 10.5 45.83%
Under 10.5 54.17%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 1.5 43.06% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.94% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.65% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.35% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.32% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.68% (-0.02)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 71.9% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.1% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.75% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.25% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.88% (-0.03)

Score analysis

NAC Breda 39.46%
Draw 23.92%
Heerenveen 36.62%
NAC Breda
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.59% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.02% (+0.02)
Total : 39.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.92%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.14% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.82% (+0.03)
Total : 36.62%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 24, 2025 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 12, 2025 3.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 19' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 75' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 1'
  • goal Jacob Trenskow 7'
  • goal Alireza Jahanbakhsh 13'
  • goal Nikolai Soyset Hopland 28'
  • yellowcard Levi Smans 90'
  • yellowcard Amara Conde 90'+3'
  • goal Ilias Sebaoui 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Simon Olsson 47' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 50' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 70' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 84' goal
  • yellowcard Max Balard 48'
KNVB Beker
Feb 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Tom Boere 16' goal
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 45'+1'
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 53'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)
  • Sam Lammers 69' goal
  • Mitchell van Bergen 90' goal
  • goal Menno Koch 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2018 6.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
  • Mitchell te Vrede 6' goal
  • Giovanni Korte 45' yellowcard
  • Mitchell te Vrede 58' goal
  • Gregory Leigh 60' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Rosheuvel 69' goal
  • Mikhail Rosheuvel 76' goal
  • goal Ben Rienstra 11'
  • redcard Ben Rienstra 14'
  • goal Mitchell van Bergen 27'
  • yellowcard Pelle van Amersfoort 36'
  • redcard Yuki Kobayashi 45'
  • yellowcard Warner Hahn 70'