Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 37.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.