KNVB Beker
Apr 19, 2026 5.00pm
Stadion Feijenoord

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

NEC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for NEC has a probability of 36.7% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest NEC win is 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 40.1% (-1.90)
Draw 23.2%
NEC 36.7% (+1.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.4% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.48% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 16.52% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 63% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 37% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 40.8% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 59.2% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 25.05% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 74.95% (-0.22)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 46.28% (-1.43)
Under 1.5 53.72% (+1.43)
Over 2.5 22.07% (-1.08)
Under 2.5 77.93% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 8.64% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 91.36% (+0.57)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 72.99% (+1.43)
Under 0.5 27.01% (-1.43)
Over 1.5 43.38% (+1.85)
Under 1.5 56.62% (-1.85)
Over 2.5 19.89% (+1.34)
Under 2.5 80.11% (-1.35)
Over 3.5 7.49% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 92.51% (-0.68)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 40.09%
Draw 23.19%
NEC 36.71%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.25)
Other @ 8.28% (-0.58)
Total : 40.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.75% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.89% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.98% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.02)
Total : 23.19%
NEC
1-2 @ 8.12% (+0.25)
0-1 @ 6.16% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.88% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 4.28% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 3.56% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.58% (+0.23)
Other @ 7.13% (+0.67)
Total : 36.71%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Jan 31, 2026 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Troy Parrott 40' goal
  • Jizz Hornkamp 65' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 65' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 65' yellowcard
  • Seiya Maikuma 65' yellowcard
  • Mateo Chávez 83' yellowcard
  • goal Tjaronn Chery 10'
  • goal Başar Önal 12'
  • goal Kodai Sano 52'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 75'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 76'
  • yellowcard Philippe Sandler 76'
  • yellowcard Virgil Misidjan 82'
  • yellowcard Youssef El Kachati 90'+1'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 28, 2025 11.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Vito van Crooij 10' goal
  • Bryan Linssen 43' yellowcard
  • Sontje Hansen 45' yellowcard
  • Kento Shiogai 63' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 71' goal
  • Kodai Sano 76' yellowcard
  • goal Ibrahim Sadiq 4'
  • goal Ernest Poku 32'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 34'
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 43'
  • goal Troy Parrott 46'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Sven Mijnans 16' goal
  • David Moller Wolfe 22' yellowcard
  • Riechedly Bazoer 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mees Hoedemakers 15'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marquez 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 11.15am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Dirk Proper 66' yellowcard
  • Kodai Sano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Dani de Wit 16'
  • yellowcard Dani de Wit 34'
  • yellowcard Vangelis Pavlidis 49'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 58'
  • yellowcard Yukinari Sugawara 74'
  • yellowcard Mees de Wit 87'
  • goal Ernest Poku 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Dec 6, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 57' goal
  • goal Bas Dost 11'
  • goal Magnus Mattsson 31'
  • yellowcard Sai van Wermeskerken 55'