Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for NEC has a probability of 36.7% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest NEC win is 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).