Dutch Super Cup
Aug 2, 2026 5.00pm
Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 31.45% and a draw has a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.93%) and 1-0 (5.41%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.4%).

Result

PSV Eindhoven 47.29% (+2.69)
Draw 21.32% (+0.20)
AZ Alkmaar 31.45% (-2.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.51% (-0.81)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.7% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 12.3% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 70.52% (-1.07)
Under 2.5 29.48% (+1.06)
Over 3.5 50.73% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 49.27% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 34.19% (-0.64)
Under 4.5 65.81% (+0.63)

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 39.52% (+1.91)
Draw 35.82% (-0.66)
AZ Alkmaar 24.66% (-1.24)

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 52.81% (+1.43)
No Goal 2.87% (-0.01)
AZ Alkmaar 44.32% (-1.41)

Corners

Over 8 62.84% (+1.00)
Equal 8 10.09% (-0.11)
Under 8 27.07% (-0.90)
Over 9 52.15% (+1.04)
Equal 9 10.69% (-0.05)
Under 9 37.16% (-1.00)
Over 10.5 41.67% (+1.00)
Under 10.5 58.33% (-1.00)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 55.58% (+1.77)
Under 1.5 44.42% (-1.77)
Over 2.5 31.83% (+1.20)
Under 2.5 68.17% (-1.21)
Over 3.5 14.69% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 85.31% (-0.66)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 68.77% (-2.15)
Under 0.5 31.23% (+2.15)
Over 1.5 42.45% (-2.60)
Under 1.5 57.55% (+2.60)
Over 2.5 20.33% (-2.06)
Under 2.5 79.67% (+2.05)
Over 3.5 8.95% (-1.08)
Under 3.5 91.05% (+1.07)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 47.29%
Draw 21.31%
AZ Alkmaar 31.45%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.92% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.93% (+0.26)
1-0 @ 5.41% (+0.63)
2-0 @ 5.29% (+0.59)
3-2 @ 5.03% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.67% (+0.27)
Other @ 14.04% (+0.71)
Total : 47.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.4% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 6.88% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.51% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.65% (-0.05)
Total : 21.31%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.62)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.59)
Other @ 8.3% (-1.02)
Total : 31.45%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Troy Parrott 45' goal
  • Anass Salah-Eddine 57' yellowcard
  • Ryan Flamingo 75' yellowcard
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 75' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 86' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 88' yellowcard
  • Myron Boadu 88' yellowcard
  • Couhaib Driouech 89' yellowcard
  • goal Billy van Duijl 13'
  • yellowcard Denso Kasius 63'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 63'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard Jizz Hornkamp 88'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 88'
  • yellowcard Jizz Hornkamp 89'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 89'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 9, 2025 3.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Luuk de Jong 68' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 85' goal
  • yellowcard David Moller Wolfe 27'
  • goal Mayckel Lahdo 41'
  • goal Mexx Meerdink 74'
  • yellowcard Jordy Clasie 76'
  • yellowcard 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT AFAS Stadion
  • David Moller Wolfe 10' redcard
  • Denso Kasius 90' goal
  • goal Luuk de Jong 15'
  • goal Noa Lang 22'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Johan Bakayoko 9' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 23' goal
  • Jordan Teze 25' yellowcard
  • Olivier Boscagli 45' yellowcard
  • Luuk de Jong 53' goal
  • Joey Veerman 80' goal
  • Jesper Uneken 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 13'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 58'
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 73'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Ruben van Bommel 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 77' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 9'
  • goal Ismael Saibari 11'
  • goal Sergino Dest 16'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 57'