Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.56% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.61%) and 3-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%) , while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.