Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.