Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.