Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.