Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.