Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.