Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%) , while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.